0xea2f…a8ef

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xea2f794a7f0ce05e4bbd357b3ccbb3bd2048a8ef
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.4pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

29% @ 19.1¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

6531

Avg size

$62

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (395/1047)	+44%	1047
Politics	5% (1/19)	-97%	19
Geopolitics	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Sports	50% (1/2)	+153%	2
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+809%	1

Other1047 bets
Hit rate
38% (395/1047)
ROI
+44%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
5% (1/19)
ROI
-97%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+153%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+809%

Track record

37% hit · 398/1077

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Waitress" this week?	Yes	$52	48.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mask" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?	Yes	$19	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?	Yes	$819	34.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?	Yes	$236	47.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Native American" during New Mexico rally on October 31?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala and Trump both say "abortion" at debate?	Yes	$176	76.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?	Yes	$545	2.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "defund the police" 2 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?	Yes	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will Kamala say "god" 3 or more times during DC rally on Oct 29?	Yes	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Reagan" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	No	$178	54.1¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$500	11.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "underdog" during his Uniondale rally?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?	Yes	$1	60.7¢	Lost
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	$1	8.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?	Yes	$40	76.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?	Yes	$3	3.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?	Yes	$38	53.9¢	Lost
Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?	No	$2	11.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	No	$280	54.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?	Yes	$33	9.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "green new scam" 2 or more times during California rally on October 12?	Yes	$1	65.0¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "Hitler" during the Joe Rogan podcast?	No	$40	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$178	54.3¢	Won
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?	No	$25	5.2¢	Lost
Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	$113	4.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?	Yes	$90	30.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	Yes	$71	2.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	$1	48.0¢	Lost
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?	Yes	$180	40.2¢	Lost
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?	No	$781	64.7¢	Won
Will Susan Wojcicki be the next CEO of X?	No	$11	50.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?	Yes	$247	33.0¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$171	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?	Yes	$127	12.7¢	Lost
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.5-4.75 in June?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	No	$248	16.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Rocket" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?	No	$21	33.0¢	Lost
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?	Yes	$152	2.7¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	$88	25.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$411	8.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?	Yes	$71	3.0¢	Lost
Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	Yes	$97	3.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$913	8.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump say "China" 10 or more times during his Michigan town hall?	Yes	$243	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during Macon, GA rally?	Yes	$1	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?	Yes	$1.8k	40.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?	Yes	$714	9.9¢	Lost
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$100	13.5¢	Won

Will Trump say "Waitress" this week?Won
Yes$52 @ 48.9¢
Will Trump say "Mask" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Lost
Yes$19 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Lost
Yes$819 @ 34.9¢
Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Lost
Yes$236 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Native American" during New Mexico rally on October 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will Kamala and Trump both say "abortion" at debate?Won
Yes$176 @ 76.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?Lost
Yes$545 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump say "defund the police" 2 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?Won
Yes$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Kamala say "god" 3 or more times during DC rally on Oct 29?Lost
Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump say "Reagan" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Lost
No$178 @ 54.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$500 @ 11.2¢
Will Donald Trump say "underdog" during his Uniondale rally?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump say "250" at Fort Bragg on Friday?Lost
Yes$1 @ 60.7¢
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.1¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?Won
Yes$40 @ 76.1¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.6¢
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally on October 18?Lost
Yes$38 @ 53.9¢
Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?Lost
No$2 @ 11.1¢
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Won
No$280 @ 54.3¢
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during Michigan rally on Nov 4?Lost
Yes$33 @ 9.8¢
Will Trump say "green new scam" 2 or more times during California rally on October 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Hitler" during the Joe Rogan podcast?Won
No$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$178 @ 54.3¢
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Lost
No$25 @ 5.2¢
Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Lost
Yes$113 @ 4.7¢
Will Trump say "tampon" during California rally on October 12?Lost
Yes$90 @ 30.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Lost
Yes$71 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump say "Egg" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 48.0¢
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Lost
Yes$180 @ 40.2¢
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?Won
No$781 @ 64.7¢
Will Susan Wojcicki be the next CEO of X?Won
No$11 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "million" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?Lost
Yes$247 @ 33.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Lost
Yes$171 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?Lost
Yes$127 @ 12.7¢
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.5-4.75 in June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Lost
No$248 @ 16.1¢
Will Trump say "Rocket" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?Lost
No$21 @ 33.0¢
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?Lost
Yes$152 @ 2.7¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Lost
Yes$88 @ 25.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$411 @ 8.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?Lost
Yes$71 @ 3.0¢
Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Lost
Yes$97 @ 3.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$913 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump say "China" 10 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Won
Yes$243 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump say "Saudi Arabia" during Macon, GA rally?Won
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 40.4¢
Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Lost
Yes$714 @ 9.9¢
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Won
Yes$100 @ 13.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$10.3k	5.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$715	0.7¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$664	1.1¢
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$285	0.5¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$43	0.4¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	49.0¢

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$10.3k @ 5.0¢
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$715 @ 0.7¢
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$664 @ 1.1¢
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$285 @ 0.5¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$43 @ 0.4¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢