0xea1d…e993

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other58 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (45/58)

  ROI

  +19%

• Politics11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  +1%

• Geopolitics10 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (9/10)

  ROI

  +20%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +27%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +17%

• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
  No$450 @ 89.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$121 @ 88.3¢
• UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Won
  Gillian Robertson$10 @ 69.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 60.8¢
• Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Won
  Yes$5 @ 82.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$99 @ 89.0¢
• UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
  Robert Whittaker$6 @ 55.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)Lost
  Israel Adesanya$7 @ 75.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$346 @ 86.5¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 77.6¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
  No$161 @ 86.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
  No$227 @ 89.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$63 @ 87.9¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
  No$82 @ 82.0¢
• Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
  No$810 @ 81.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$435 @ 84.1¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$97 @ 88.7¢
• Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Won
  Yes$43 @ 86.3¢
• UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)Lost
  Lerone Murphy$74 @ 74.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)Won
  Movsar Evloev$7 @ 71.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$847 @ 83.9¢
• Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  No$38 @ 86.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
  No$16 @ 83.5¢
• Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Won
  No$9 @ 85.3¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$8 @ 86.0¢
• Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Lost
  No$12 @ 67.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
  No$37 @ 84.0¢
• Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?Won
  No$1 @ 61.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$1.0k @ 85.7¢
• Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
  Yes$294 @ 81.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$115 @ 75.9¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
  No$74 @ 87.6¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Won
  No$77 @ 65.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$132 @ 61.5¢
• Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Won
  No$62 @ 83.0¢
• UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
  Raul Rosas Jr.$14 @ 89.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Lost
  No$284 @ 85.8¢
• US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$132 @ 67.5¢
• Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
  Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?Won
  No$86 @ 79.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$116 @ 76.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$146 @ 73.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$6.1k @ 87.7¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Won
  Yes$9.1k @ 86.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$243 @ 81.4¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
• UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
  Joaquin Buckley$9 @ 56.0¢

Current positions

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
  Yes$356 @ 92.4¢
• Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$277 @ 87.4¢
• Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
  No$227 @ 87.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$219 @ 92.7¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$215 @ 91.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$148 @ 93.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$140 @ 93.4¢
• Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics
  No$137 @ 91.1¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$130 @ 86.7¢
• Trump out as President by September 30?Politics
  No$117 @ 99.0¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
  No$96 @ 96.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$95 @ 95.1¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$85 @ 84.6¢
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$66 @ 89.9¢
• Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics
  No$61 @ 96.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Politics
  Yes$49 @ 98.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$49 @ 98.2¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics
  No$48 @ 96.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Politics
  No$48 @ 88.5¢
• Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$47 @ 93.0¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$44 @ 87.0¢
• Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$40 @ 94.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$40 @ 91.9¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$37 @ 74.0¢
• GTA VI released by November 30?Culture
  Yes$24 @ 91.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$24 @ 88.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech
  No$23 @ 91.6¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$12 @ 88.4¢
• Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture
  No$12 @ 90.9¢