0xe9ce…9811

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe9ce3189cc3fa8b767c2b9ebf2a564887cd19811
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

76% @ 68.0¢

Brier

0.066

Resolved

599

Avg size

$298

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (97/137)	+11%	137
Culture	67% (8/12)	-8%	12

Other137 bets
Hit rate
71% (97/137)
ROI
+11%
Culture12 bets
Hit rate
67% (8/12)
ROI
-8%

Track record

70% hit · 105/149

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	$49	7.9¢	Lost
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Yes	$2.2k	90.8¢	Lost
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	$61	8.2¢	Lost
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Lost
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	$73	8.2¢	Lost
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	$74	8.2¢	Lost
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $1.5-2m?	No	$37	88.0¢	Won
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$628	53.0¢	Lost
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Yes	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?	No	$726	88.2¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?	No	$2.1k	26.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	No	$2.2k	66.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1	Yes	$382	76.4¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	Yes	$16	85.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	$240	40.0¢	Lost
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	No	$181	89.8¢	Won
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?	Yes	$98	27.9¢	Lost
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?	No	$438	85.0¢	Won
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$97	57.4¢	Won
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?	No	$847	88.3¢	Won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	No	$3.0k	29.6¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$3.4k	68.6¢	Won
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?	No	$2.5k	85.0¢	Won
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?	Yes	$44	8.0¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?	No	$646	85.0¢	Won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?	Yes	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	No	$1.7k	85.0¢	Won
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?	No	$2.4k	80.3¢	Won
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	No	$218	88.6¢	Won
Will "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?	No	$600	75.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$14	0.2¢	Lost
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?	No	$627	89.4¢	Won
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?	Yes	$2.3k	80.0¢	Won
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	$23	80.0¢	Won
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	$490	70.0¢	Won
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?	No	$167	30.9¢	Lost
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?	Yes	$1.1k	70.0¢	Won
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?	Yes	$2.1k	89.0¢	Won
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $72m?	No	$38	60.0¢	Won
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?	Yes	$181	70.0¢	Won
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?	No	$313	83.8¢	Won
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 28m?	No	$314	89.7¢	Won
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?	No	$904	90.0¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?	No	$624	57.0¢	Won
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?	Yes	$739	30.4¢	Lost
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?	No	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?	No	$2.4k	80.0¢	Won
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.8m?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?	No	$540	77.6¢	Won

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?Lost
Yes$49 @ 7.9¢
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 90.8¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Lost
Yes$61 @ 8.2¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?Lost
Yes$73 @ 8.2¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Lost
Yes$74 @ 8.2¢
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $1.5-2m?Won
No$37 @ 88.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Lost
No$628 @ 53.0¢
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Lost
Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Won
No$726 @ 88.2¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Lost
No$2.1k @ 26.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Won
No$2.2k @ 66.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Lost
Yes$382 @ 76.4¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?Won
Yes$16 @ 85.0¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
Yes$240 @ 40.0¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?Won
No$181 @ 89.8¢
Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $3m?Lost
Yes$98 @ 27.9¢
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?Won
No$438 @ 85.0¢
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Won
Yes$97 @ 57.4¢
Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34m and $39m?Won
No$847 @ 88.3¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Lost
No$3.0k @ 29.6¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 68.6¢
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?Won
No$2.5k @ 85.0¢
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?Lost
Yes$44 @ 8.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?Won
No$646 @ 85.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?Lost
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?Won
No$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?Won
No$2.4k @ 80.3¢
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Won
No$218 @ 88.6¢
Will "Song Sung Blue" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?Won
No$600 @ 75.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$14 @ 0.2¢
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?Won
No$627 @ 89.4¢
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 80.0¢
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Won
No$23 @ 80.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Won
Yes$490 @ 70.0¢
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?Lost
No$167 @ 30.9¢
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 70.0¢
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 89.0¢
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $72m?Won
No$38 @ 60.0¢
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Won
Yes$181 @ 70.0¢
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Won
No$313 @ 83.8¢
Will "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 28m?Won
No$314 @ 89.7¢
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?Won
No$904 @ 90.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?Won
No$624 @ 57.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?Lost
Yes$739 @ 30.4¢
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Lost
No$5 @ 0.2¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 72m?Won
No$2.4k @ 80.0¢
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.8m?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?Won
No$540 @ 77.6¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	Culture	Yes	$2.2k	90.8¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?	Culture	No	$2.1k	84.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Culture	No	$1.4k	48.1¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Culture	No	$1.4k	90.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	Culture	No	$1.0k	92.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?	Culture	No	$945	85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	—	Yes	$660	66.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Culture	No	$566	89.0¢
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	—	No	$525	72.1¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?	—	Yes	$494	12.6¢
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Culture	No	$300	40.0¢
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?	—	Yes	$279	29.2¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?	—	Yes	$276	12.6¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	—	Yes	$240	40.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?	Culture	Yes	$222	50.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	—	No	$200	10.0¢
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	Culture	Yes	$196	20.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?	—	Yes	$129	30.4¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?	—	Yes	$110	39.7¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?	—	Yes	$100	10.0¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	—	Yes	$74	8.2¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	—	Yes	$73	8.2¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	—	Yes	$61	8.2¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	—	Yes	$49	7.9¢
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?	—	Yes	$44	8.0¢
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Culture	No	$21	35.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?	—	No	$1	5.0¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	—	Yes	$1	15.0¢
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?	—	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?	—	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Culture
Yes$2.2k @ 90.8¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?Culture
No$2.1k @ 84.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Culture
No$1.4k @ 48.1¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Culture
No$1.4k @ 90.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?Culture
No$1.0k @ 92.0¢
Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Culture
No$945 @ 85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?—
Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Culture
No$566 @ 89.0¢
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?—
No$525 @ 72.1¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?—
Yes$494 @ 12.6¢
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?Culture
No$300 @ 40.0¢
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20m and $23m?—
Yes$279 @ 29.2¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?—
Yes$276 @ 12.6¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?—
Yes$240 @ 40.0¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?Culture
Yes$222 @ 50.0¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?—
No$200 @ 10.0¢
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Culture
Yes$196 @ 20.0¢
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?—
Yes$129 @ 30.4¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?—
Yes$110 @ 39.7¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?—
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?—
Yes$74 @ 8.2¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?—
Yes$73 @ 8.2¢
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?—
Yes$61 @ 8.2¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?—
Yes$49 @ 7.9¢
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?—
Yes$44 @ 8.0¢
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Culture
No$21 @ 35.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?—
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?—
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $78m?—
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $17m and $20m?—
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢