← Smart money
0xe9c7…147a
SharpEdge
-4.7pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
42% @ 46.4¢
Brier
0.139
Resolved
1142
Avg size
$131
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 49% (83/171) | +30% | 171 |
| Sports | 44% (63/142) | +20% | 142 |
| Politics | 36% (8/22) | -15% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (6/9) | +13% | 9 |
| Crypto | 20% (1/5) | +82% | 5 |
| Economy | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other171 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (83/171)
- ROI
- +30%
- Sports142 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (63/142)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics22 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (8/22)
- ROI
- -15%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +13%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- +82%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 161/352- No$17 @ 80.0¢
- 76ers$190 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
- No$7 @ 33.0¢
- Utah State Aggies$1.3k @ 65.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 52.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 11.5¢
- Uzbekistan$7 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 12.0¢
- No$440 @ 67.7¢
- No$500 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 85.6¢
- Yes$104 @ 27.0¢
- Over$48 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$165 @ 82.5¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$316 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- No$250 @ 52.0¢
- No$2.7k @ 66.1¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 27.3¢
- No$16 @ 74.3¢
- No$204 @ 67.0¢
- No$75 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$470 @ 47.0¢
- Colombia$9 @ 44.0¢
- No$9 @ 42.0¢
- No$127 @ 41.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.2¢
- Croatia$10 @ 44.0¢
- Over$20 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.1¢
- No$750 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 65.0¢
- No$10.6k @ 81.7¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 17.3¢
- Over$21 @ 49.0¢
- Germany$18 @ 41.0¢
- No$600 @ 47.7¢
- No$6 @ 27.0¢
- No$173 @ 50.1¢
- Bosnia and Herzegovina$1.8k @ 47.0¢
- Under$10 @ 46.0¢
- No$15 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 30.0¢
- Miami (OH) RedHawks$1 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$68 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$600 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$860 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$710 @ 71.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | No | $1.5k | 86.0¢ |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | No | $1.5k | 87.0¢ |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | No | $1.2k | 87.0¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | Crypto | No | $545 | 62.7¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $422 | 64.0¢ |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $420 | 98.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Tech | No | $254 | 82.0¢ |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $94 | 94.0¢ |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $37 | 12.0¢ |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | Tech | No | $2 | 75.0¢ |
- No$1.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 87.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
- No$545 @ 62.7¢
- No$422 @ 64.0¢
- No$420 @ 98.5¢
- No$254 @ 82.0¢
- No$94 @ 94.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 12.0¢
- No$2 @ 75.0¢