0xe9c7…147a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe9c7cffc78c45bc98862180d032028c09f94147a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-7.7pp

ROI

+86%

Win rate

14% @ 21.4¢

Brier

0.097

Resolved

175

Avg size

$168

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (9/26)	+185%	26
Politics	35% (6/17)	-17%	17
Sports	27% (4/15)	+7%	15
Crypto	20% (1/5)	+82%	5
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+16%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other26 bets
Hit rate
35% (9/26)
ROI
+185%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
35% (6/17)
ROI
-17%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
27% (4/15)
ROI
+7%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+82%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

32% hit · 21/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	$190	19.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$7	33.0¢	Lost
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.7k	66.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4.6k	28.5¢	Lost
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?	No	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	Yes	$25	0.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$10.6k	81.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	17.3¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$15	35.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$38	30.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$600	7.5¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$710	71.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	No	$11	50.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$15	0.1¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$206	68.7¢	Lost
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$50	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	$44	31.0¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$502	88.8¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$215	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$40	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$125	0.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	$16	75.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?	Yes	$21	0.3¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	$264	70.7¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$554	27.7¢	Won
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$57	57.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$1.2k	49.6¢	Won
Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$1.2k	62.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Under	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$27	3.6¢	Lost
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	No	$96	56.4¢	Lost
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	No	$78	76.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$30	0.2¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	$9	43.0¢	Lost
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	0.3¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.8k	32.7¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$75	67.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	$53	12.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	$38	89.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?	No	$46	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	0.2¢	Lost
Colombia leading at halftime?	No	$11	50.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$502	85.0¢	Won
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	$80	0.2¢	Lost

Celtics vs. 76ersLost
76ers$190 @ 19.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$7 @ 33.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.7k @ 66.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.6k @ 28.5¢
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?Lost
No$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?Won
Yes$25 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$10.6k @ 81.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 17.3¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$15 @ 35.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$38 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$600 @ 7.5¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$710 @ 71.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$11 @ 50.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$206 @ 68.7¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 0.1¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Lost
No$44 @ 31.0¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$502 @ 88.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Won
Yes$215 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$125 @ 0.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Won
No$16 @ 75.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$264 @ 70.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$554 @ 27.7¢
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
Yes$57 @ 57.0¢
Lakers vs. RocketsWon
Lakers$1.2k @ 49.6¢
Lakers vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$1.2k @ 62.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$10 @ 45.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Lost
Yes$27 @ 3.6¢
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?Lost
No$96 @ 56.4¢
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
No$78 @ 76.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Lost
Yes$30 @ 0.2¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$9 @ 43.0¢
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 0.3¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.8k @ 32.7¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$75 @ 67.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?Lost
No$53 @ 12.8¢
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?Lost
No$38 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?Won
No$46 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 0.2¢
Colombia leading at halftime?Lost
No$11 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
Yes$502 @ 85.0¢
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Lost
Yes$80 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.3k	25.9¢
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	96.0¢
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$420	98.5¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	No	$384	93.0¢
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$135	58.5¢
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$94	94.0¢
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$76	45.9¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?	—	No	$37	89.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$19	2.3¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	—	No	$13	60.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$11	52.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	—	Over	$11	51.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?	—	No	$11	51.0¢
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?	—	No	$11	48.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$9	40.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	—	Switzerland	$9	40.0¢
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$6	28.0¢
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$6	25.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	—	Colombia	$4	19.0¢

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.3k @ 25.9¢
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 96.0¢
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Crypto
No$420 @ 98.5¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
No$384 @ 93.0¢
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$135 @ 58.5¢
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto
No$94 @ 94.0¢
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$76 @ 45.9¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?—
No$37 @ 89.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$19 @ 2.3¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?—
No$13 @ 60.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$11 @ 52.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners—
Over$11 @ 51.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?—
No$11 @ 51.0¢
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?—
No$11 @ 48.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5—
Over$9 @ 40.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance—
Switzerland$9 @ 40.0¢
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals—
Yes$6 @ 28.0¢
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals—
Yes$6 @ 25.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)—
Colombia$4 @ 19.0¢