← Smart money
0xe990…50f1
SharpEdge
-11.1pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
32% @ 42.9¢
Brier
0.186
Resolved
513
Avg size
$11
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 45% (22/49) | +119% | 49 |
| Politics | 33% (15/46) | -53% | 46 |
| Geopolitics | 44% (4/9) | -49% | 9 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other49 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (22/49)
- ROI
- +119%
- Politics46 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (15/46)
- ROI
- -53%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- -49%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
39% hit · 41/105- Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$253 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.0¢
- No$4 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$316 @ 41.4¢
- No$2 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 89.4¢
- No$36 @ 70.2¢
- No$21 @ 87.0¢
- No$84 @ 86.7¢
- No$97 @ 48.0¢
- No$43 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$159 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 5.4¢
- No$4 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 89.0¢
- No$2 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
- No$92 @ 73.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$150 @ 60.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
- No$29 @ 72.0¢
- No$22 @ 83.0¢
- No$2 @ 20.0¢
- No$52 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$422 @ 41.5¢
- No$1 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$182 @ 40.6¢
- No$15 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 87.6¢
- Yes$43 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 18.3¢
- No$49 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$199 @ 62.5¢
- No$28 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 85.7¢
- No$245 @ 84.6¢
- Yes$55 @ 38.7¢
- No$7 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 69.8¢
- No$6 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 72.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 20.0¢ |
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢