0xe97b…b2ea

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe97b7b1396a99341b32984fa8bbf62f2f68ab2ea
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.2pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

65% @ 47.5¢

Brier

0.141

Resolved

595

Avg size

$61

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (54/114)	+24%	114
Tech	50% (2/4)	+39%	4

Other114 bets
Hit rate
47% (54/114)
ROI
+24%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+39%

Track record

47% hit · 56/118

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?	Yes	$28	45.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	$210	46.6¢	Lost
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$443	80.2¢	Won
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?	Yes	$46	11.6¢	Lost
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?	No	$246	82.0¢	Won
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?	No	$74	36.0¢	Won
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	$72	22.7¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?	Yes	$14	2.0¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?	Yes	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$136	7.8¢	Lost
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$160	7.1¢	Lost
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	Yes	$966	80.5¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?	Yes	$276	7.7¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$273	66.6¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$951	47.5¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?	Yes	$24	16.0¢	Lost
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$58	8.3¢	Won
Will someone else be inaugurated?	Yes	$105	2.1¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$126	42.0¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	$18	13.1¢	Lost
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?	Yes	$105	6.2¢	Lost
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?	No	$50	88.5¢	Won
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Gukesh	$69	46.0¢	Won
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?	Yes	$8	3.3¢	Lost
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?	Yes	$162	32.2¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?	Yes	$4	2.0¢	Lost
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	No	$220	51.9¢	Won
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?	Yes	$8	4.6¢	Lost
Four Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	No	$143	80.4¢	Won
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Won
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?	Yes	$20	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?	No	$61	84.0¢	Won
Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?	Yes	$101	67.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	No	$151	51.3¢	Lost
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?	No	$1.4k	69.2¢	Won
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?	Yes	$2.0k	65.5¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Andrew Bailey for Attorney General?	No	$25	83.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$345	46.0¢	Lost
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?	Yes	$310	88.6¢	Won
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?	No	$121	51.6¢	Won
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?	Yes	$301	50.1¢	Won
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?	Yes	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?	Yes	$752	75.2¢	Won
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	No	$1.3k	84.1¢	Won
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January?	Yes	$184	8.3¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?	Yes	$297	3.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?	Yes	$18	3.3¢	Lost
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?	No	$279	69.8¢	Won

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Lost
Yes$28 @ 45.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
No$210 @ 46.6¢
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? Won
Yes$443 @ 80.2¢
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?Lost
Yes$46 @ 11.6¢
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Won
No$246 @ 82.0¢
Will Game 11 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?Won
No$74 @ 36.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Lost
Yes$72 @ 22.7¢
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.1¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Lost
Yes$136 @ 7.8¢
Seven Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Lost
Yes$160 @ 7.1¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Won
Yes$966 @ 80.5¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Lost
Yes$276 @ 7.7¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$273 @ 66.6¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$951 @ 47.5¢
Will Trump nominate Thomas Massie for Agriculture Secretary?Lost
Yes$24 @ 16.0¢
Eight Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Won
Yes$58 @ 8.3¢
Will someone else be inaugurated?Lost
Yes$105 @ 2.1¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
Yes$126 @ 42.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Lost
Yes$18 @ 13.1¢
Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?Lost
Yes$105 @ 6.2¢
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? Won
No$50 @ 88.5¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerWon
Gukesh$69 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.3¢
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?Lost
Yes$162 @ 32.2¢
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Won
No$220 @ 51.9¢
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.6¢
Four Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Won
No$143 @ 80.4¢
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Won
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?Lost
Yes$20 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?Won
No$61 @ 84.0¢
Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?Won
Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Lost
No$151 @ 51.3¢
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?Won
No$1.4k @ 69.2¢
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Won
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 65.5¢
Will Trump nominate Andrew Bailey for Attorney General?Won
No$25 @ 83.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$345 @ 46.0¢
Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?Won
Yes$310 @ 88.6¢
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?Won
No$121 @ 51.6¢
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Won
Yes$301 @ 50.1¢
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.1¢
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?Won
Yes$752 @ 75.2¢
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Won
No$1.3k @ 84.1¢
Ten or more Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? Lost
Yes$184 @ 8.3¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Lost
Yes$297 @ 3.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Lost
Yes$18 @ 3.3¢
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Won
No$279 @ 69.8¢

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