0xe95e…61f2

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other487 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (225/487)

  ROI

  +8%

• Sports48 bets

  Hit rate

  44% (21/48)

  ROI

  +28%

• Politics33 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (19/33)

  ROI

  -6%

• Crypto24 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (16/24)

  ROI

  -39%

• Tech17 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (7/17)

  ROI

  -7%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (3/12)

  ROI

  -54%

• Economy2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +71%

• Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezLost
  Mirra Andreeva$389 @ 77.0¢
• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Won
  Yes$112 @ 74.9¢
• Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
  No$396 @ 66.0¢
• Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Lost
  Yes$167 @ 4.6¢
• Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Won
  No$862 @ 78.6¢
• Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?Won
  No$1.0k @ 63.4¢
• Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Lost
  No$63 @ 8.0¢
• Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Won
  Yes$465 @ 79.0¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Lost
  No$33 @ 29.9¢
• FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?Won
  Yes$4.7k @ 52.6¢
• Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
  No$35 @ 10.1¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
  No$131 @ 8.1¢
• Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Lost
  No$44 @ 11.3¢
• Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Won
  Yes$16.9k @ 89.1¢
• Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Lost
  No$3.0k @ 23.6¢
• Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? Won
  No$4.7k @ 84.9¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?Won
  Yes$440 @ 44.0¢
• Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 85.0¢
• Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?Won
  Yes$344 @ 49.0¢
• MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Lost
  No$320 @ 8.5¢
• Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
  Yes$726 @ 74.6¢
• Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?Lost
  No$829 @ 7.8¢
• USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
  No$266 @ 81.4¢
• Will Kamala Harris say "Price control" during Friday speech?Won
  No$54 @ 68.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$900 @ 90.0¢
• Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?Lost
  Yes$362 @ 53.4¢
• Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Lost
  Yes$27 @ 17.4¢
• Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
  Yes$157 @ 16.8¢
• Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
  No$525 @ 71.1¢
• Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Lost
  No$99 @ 21.0¢
• Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?Lost
  No$96 @ 19.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$819 @ 81.1¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$559 @ 81.9¢
• Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
  No$1.8k @ 48.0¢
• Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$57 @ 70.2¢
• Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$90 @ 35.3¢
• Circle IPO in 2025?Lost
  No$330 @ 30.9¢
• Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?Lost
  No$131 @ 17.0¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Lost
  No$75 @ 10.2¢
• Will Berachain's FDV be less than $3b 1 day after launch?Lost
  Yes$112 @ 15.3¢
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Lost
  No$144 @ 55.8¢
• USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Lost
  No$7 @ 10.1¢
• Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 5-6b one week after launch?Won
  Yes$556 @ 58.0¢
• Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
  Yes$62 @ 0.7¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$444 @ 43.5¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$277 @ 54.1¢
• Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$75 @ 30.0¢
• Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Friday speech?Won
  No$47 @ 29.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
  Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
• Will Trump say "Illegal Immigration" 3 or more times at his rally?Won
  No$46 @ 46.0¢

Current positions

• Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
  Yes$9.4k @ 77.5¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
  Yes$8.0k @ 82.5¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech
  No$6.3k @ 87.1¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
  Yes$5.5k @ 85.0¢
• Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto
  No$4.4k @ 84.7¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  Yes$4.2k @ 70.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
  No$3.9k @ 71.8¢
• Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$2.8k @ 96.7¢
• Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
  No$2.8k @ 72.7¢
• Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Geopolitics
  No$2.5k @ 94.8¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.0k @ 67.4¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$2.0k @ 72.6¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 66.9¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.6k @ 79.3¢
• Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech
  Yes$1.4k @ 48.7¢
• Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.3k @ 95.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.3k @ 65.1¢
• Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 94.0¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 57.9¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$1.2k @ 72.5¢
• Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?Crypto
  No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
• Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.1k @ 75.3¢
• Next Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$987 @ 85.3¢
• Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$960 @ 92.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$900 @ 90.0¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$860 @ 59.1¢
• Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?Crypto
  No$824 @ 89.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?Crypto
  No$811 @ 93.0¢
• Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$771 @ 91.9¢
• Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics
  No$744 @ 93.0¢