0xe94b…5abe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe94bf89e66b852d60866667bddf7bff9dad65abe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

25% @ 19.4¢

Brier

0.135

Resolved

2065

Avg size

$76

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (54/237)	+21%	237
Sports	42% (20/48)	-49%	48
Crypto	33% (10/30)	+41%	30
Politics	39% (7/18)	-10%	18
Geopolitics	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Economy	14% (1/7)	-94%	7
Business	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other237 bets
Hit rate
23% (54/237)
ROI
+21%
Sports48 bets
Hit rate
42% (20/48)
ROI
-49%
Crypto30 bets
Hit rate
33% (10/30)
ROI
+41%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-94%
Business4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

Track record

26% hit · 92/353

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	$26	7.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	$6	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?	No	$42	5.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?	No	$51	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 20?	No	$77	1.6¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$356	3.5¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	67.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$4.8k	16.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	No	$59	4.1¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	No	$55	29.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?	No	$670	64.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?	Yes	$78	2.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?	No	$417	3.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	$20	2.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$261	9.6¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$3.0k	50.0¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$1.3k	51.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$91	76.9¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$162	6.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	No	$4	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	Yes	$54	3.0¢	Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$376	7.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?	No	$248	0.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$469	63.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	$72	42.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	No	$45	3.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$39	25.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	No	$106	0.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 21?	No	$4	0.6¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$250	38.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	No	$14	0.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	No	$4	1.2¢	Lost
Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	$14	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$45	9.9¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	$111	12.2¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$411	26.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$10	0.8¢	Lost
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	41.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?	No	$152	6.4¢	Lost
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	Yes	$497	5.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30?	No	$26	0.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?	No	$9	6.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 19?	No	$161	1.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?	Yes	$71	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?	No	$114	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?	Yes	$359	52.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?	No	$150	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$1.1k	60.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?	No	$91	0.7¢	Lost

Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Lost
No$26 @ 7.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?Lost
No$42 @ 5.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23?Lost
No$51 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 20?Lost
No$77 @ 1.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Lost
Yes$356 @ 3.5¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$4.8k @ 16.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?Lost
No$59 @ 4.1¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$55 @ 29.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?Won
No$670 @ 64.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?Lost
Yes$78 @ 2.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?Lost
No$417 @ 3.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.7¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$261 @ 9.6¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$3.0k @ 50.0¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$1.3k @ 51.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$91 @ 76.9¢
United States vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?Lost
Yes$162 @ 6.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?Lost
No$4 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?Lost
Yes$54 @ 3.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$376 @ 7.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18?Lost
No$248 @ 0.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$469 @ 63.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Lost
No$72 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?Lost
No$45 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$39 @ 25.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?Lost
No$106 @ 0.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 21?Lost
No$4 @ 0.6¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$250 @ 38.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?Lost
No$14 @ 0.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?Lost
No$4 @ 1.2¢
Will Stephon Castle win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?Lost
Yes$14 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
No$45 @ 9.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Lost
No$111 @ 12.2¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$411 @ 26.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.8¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$12 @ 41.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 15?Lost
No$152 @ 6.4¢
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Lost
Yes$497 @ 5.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30?Lost
No$26 @ 0.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?Lost
No$9 @ 6.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 19?Lost
No$161 @ 1.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?Lost
Yes$71 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?Lost
No$114 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?Won
Yes$359 @ 52.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?Lost
No$150 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$1.1k @ 60.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 16?Lost
No$91 @ 0.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$535	22.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$530	27.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	No	$394	19.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	Crypto	No	$295	58.9¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$257	13.6¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$193	10.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Crypto	No	$100	36.0¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$33	3.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?	Crypto	No	$31	33.8¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Tech	Yes	$1	16.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?Crypto
No$535 @ 22.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$530 @ 27.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
No$394 @ 19.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?Crypto
No$295 @ 58.9¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?Crypto
Yes$257 @ 13.6¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$193 @ 10.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?Crypto
No$100 @ 36.0¢
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$33 @ 3.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27?Crypto
No$31 @ 33.8¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢