0xe937…d46a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe937357d6b851c08f258fc0b325fd71dfb06d46a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.0pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

25% @ 20.0¢

Brier

0.133

Resolved

2185

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (129/407)	+40%	407
Sports	21% (3/14)	-10%	14
Politics	17% (2/12)	+57%	12
Crypto	25% (2/8)	-3%	8
Tech	40% (2/5)	-74%	5
Science	25% (1/4)	+24%	4
Culture	25% (1/4)	-98%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other407 bets
Hit rate
32% (129/407)
ROI
+40%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
21% (3/14)
ROI
-10%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
17% (2/12)
ROI
+57%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
-3%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
-74%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+24%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-98%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

31% hit · 140/455

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Montevideo Wanderers vs. Albion FC: Albion FC 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$25	25.0¢	Lost
América FC vs. EC Juventude: EC Juventude 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$28	5.6¢	Lost
Latvia vs. Cyprus: Cyprus O/U 0.5	Over	$8	40.0¢	Lost
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	$2	3.3¢	Lost
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	$75	26.5¢	Lost
Guyana vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$39	52.1¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?	No	$40	40.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?	Yes	$82	41.0¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	$14	2.6¢	Lost
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$29	57.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?	Yes	$117	15.3¢	Lost
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5	Over	$52	80.0¢	Won
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 15, 8PM ET?	No	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	Yes	$89	38.7¢	Won
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$28	3.5¢	Lost
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	Yes	$653	55.8¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 2?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Lost
CD Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$56	56.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	Yes	$63	6.3¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$11	3.5¢	Lost
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$122	12.5¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$53	11.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 1?	Yes	$16	8.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	No	$14	73.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	$30	6.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?	No	$56	41.3¢	Won
Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC vs. Grenoble Foot 38: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$12	58.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?	No	$12	1.0¢	Lost
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$429	85.4¢	Won
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$98	31.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?	No	$7	0.7¢	Lost
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	$33	62.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$165	41.1¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$31	31.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 25?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	Yes	$21	2.9¢	Lost
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	Yes	$40	3.8¢	Lost
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	$60	3.1¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?	Yes	$104	52.0¢	Won
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	$2	10.7¢	Lost
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$8	1.6¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?	Yes	$140	9.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$52	55.0¢	Lost

Montevideo Wanderers vs. Albion FC: Albion FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$25 @ 25.0¢
América FC vs. EC Juventude: EC Juventude 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Botswana win on 2026-09-28?Lost
Yes$28 @ 5.6¢
Latvia vs. Cyprus: Cyprus O/U 0.5Lost
Over$8 @ 40.0¢
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Lost
No$75 @ 26.5¢
Guyana vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Atlético San Luis: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$39 @ 52.1¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.6¢
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sandefjord Fotball: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$29 @ 57.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$117 @ 15.3¢
Trabzonspor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5Won
Over$52 @ 80.0¢
Ethereum above 1,760 on June 15, 8PM ET?Lost
No$0 @ 3.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Won
Yes$89 @ 38.7¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Lost
No$28 @ 3.5¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Won
Yes$653 @ 55.8¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 2?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
CD Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Lost
Yes$63 @ 6.3¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Lost
Yes$11 @ 3.5¢
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$122 @ 12.5¢
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$53 @ 11.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 1?Won
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?Won
No$14 @ 73.0¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Won
No$30 @ 6.0¢
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?Won
No$56 @ 41.3¢
Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC vs. Grenoble Foot 38: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?Lost
No$12 @ 1.0¢
Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$429 @ 85.4¢
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$98 @ 31.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 4?Lost
No$7 @ 0.7¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Won
No$33 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$165 @ 41.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 25?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.9¢
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 3.8¢
Will the US strike Somalia next?Won
Yes$60 @ 3.1¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Won
Yes$104 @ 52.0¢
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.7¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?Lost
Yes$140 @ 9.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$52 @ 55.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?	Tech	Yes	$143	22.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$85	15.5¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	No	$32	3.1¢
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?	Tech	Yes	$29	8.9¢
Australia vs. Brazil: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5	Sports	Over	$15	29.5¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$13	1.5¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$9	0.7¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	No	$9	3.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	4.0¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.0¢
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6	2.8¢
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	1.0¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	1.0¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?	Science	Yes	$4	2.0¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	1.2¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2	1.1¢
Critical Discord Incident by September 30?	Tech	Yes	$2	11.0¢

ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?Tech
Yes$143 @ 22.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?Crypto
Yes$85 @ 15.5¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
No$32 @ 3.1¢
ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?Tech
Yes$29 @ 8.9¢
Australia vs. Brazil: Australia 1st Half O/U 0.5Sports
Over$15 @ 29.5¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$13 @ 1.5¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$9 @ 0.7¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 3.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?Science
Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Tech
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢