0xe91f…2766

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe91fe71a799e774d64363b1be8c741919a952766
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.3pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

58% @ 53.8¢

Brier

0.184

Resolved

998

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (197/358)	+5%	358
Politics	53% (25/47)	+24%	47
Sports	50% (3/6)	-13%	6
Science	100% (5/5)	+23%	5
Crypto	60% (3/5)	+46%	5
Tech	25% (1/4)	-81%	4
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-46%	3

Other358 bets
Hit rate
55% (197/358)
ROI
+5%
Politics47 bets
Hit rate
53% (25/47)
ROI
+24%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-13%
Science5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+23%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+46%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-81%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-46%

Track record

55% hit · 235/428

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$1	63.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	$2	61.2¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	$2	45.0¢	Lost
Rams vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$4	56.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance	Team WE	$4	81.0¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$6	19.1¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?	No	$2	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 4?	No	$1	12.0¢	Won
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$9	83.1¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	Movistar KOI	$2	59.0¢	Lost
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	No	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$7	23.3¢	Lost
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5	Under	$2	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?	Yes	$1	61.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	$10	63.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	GIANTX	$2	86.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	G2 Esports	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on February 6?	No	$1	25.9¢	Lost
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$12	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	$4	69.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	FaZe	$10	66.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$7	58.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$22	23.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?	Yes	$8	80.8¢	Won
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5	Under	$10	49.2¢	Won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner	LNG Esports	$10	67.2¢	Lost
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner	Oh My God	$4	56.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?	No	$11	54.7¢	Lost
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$8	50.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Magic	Magic	$14	41.0¢	Won
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 143.5	Under	$2	46.0¢	Won
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5	Under	$2	48.0¢	Won
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$16	67.2¢	Won
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?	No	$13	6.4¢	Lost
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$1	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$4	36.1¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$2	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on January 26?	No	$2	49.9¢	Won
Miami vs. Indiana	Miami	$2	26.0¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage	Cloud9	$2	69.0¢	Won
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage	FlyQuest	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$14	44.5¢	Lost
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage	KT Rolster	$2	65.0¢	Lost
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage	Nongshim Red Force	$19	43.2¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$9	71.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	27.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$8	83.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	30.2¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	$2	20.0¢	Lost

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$1 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Bilibili Gaming$2 @ 61.2¢
Rams vs. SeahawksLost
Rams$2 @ 45.0¢
Rams vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$4 @ 56.0¢
Will Netherlands win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceWon
Team WE$4 @ 81.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$6 @ 19.1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Won
No$2 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 4?Won
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$9 @ 83.1¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
Movistar KOI$2 @ 59.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Won
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$7 @ 23.3¢
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5Won
Under$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 61.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Bilibili Gaming$10 @ 63.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
GIANTX$2 @ 86.0¢
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonWon
G2 Esports$4 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on February 6?Lost
No$1 @ 25.9¢
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
Yes$12 @ 53.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 WinnerWon
Gen.G$4 @ 69.0¢
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BWon
FaZe$10 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 23.9¢
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?Won
Yes$8 @ 80.8¢
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5Won
Under$10 @ 49.2¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLost
LNG Esports$10 @ 67.2¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 WinnerLost
Oh My God$4 @ 56.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 4?Lost
No$11 @ 54.7¢
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$8 @ 50.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicWon
Magic$14 @ 41.0¢
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 143.5Won
Under$2 @ 46.0¢
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Won
Under$2 @ 48.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$16 @ 67.2¢
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Lost
No$13 @ 6.4¢
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
No$1 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$4 @ 36.1¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
No$2 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on January 26?Won
No$2 @ 49.9¢
Miami vs. IndianaLost
Miami$2 @ 26.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageWon
Cloud9$2 @ 69.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageLost
FlyQuest$2 @ 32.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Lost
No$14 @ 44.5¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageLost
KT Rolster$2 @ 65.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group StageWon
Nongshim Red Force$19 @ 43.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 71.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 27.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 83.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 30.2¢
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerLost
Dplus KIA$2 @ 20.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	84.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$19	71.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$19	32.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$18	73.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Culture	No	$17	89.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$16	71.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$13	73.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$12	38.9¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$2	58.8¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Politics	No	$2	52.0¢
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1	58.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1	63.0¢
Remote IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$1	89.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$1	96.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$1	94.8¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$1	97.0¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Science	Yes	$1	98.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	78.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$1	98.3¢
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$1	76.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1	24.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?	Science	No	$1	95.2¢
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 84.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$19 @ 71.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$19 @ 32.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$18 @ 73.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
No$17 @ 89.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$16 @ 71.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$13 @ 73.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$12 @ 38.9¢
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
No$2 @ 58.8¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
No$2 @ 52.0¢
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$1 @ 58.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Remote IPO before 2027?Business
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?Science
No$1 @ 96.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?Science
No$1 @ 94.8¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?Science
No$1 @ 97.0¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Science
Yes$1 @ 98.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?Science
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Business
No$1 @ 76.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?Science
No$1 @ 95.2¢
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢