← Smart money
0xe913…ffb5
SharpEdge
+30.5pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
98% @ 67.5¢
Brier
0.114
Resolved
51
Avg size
$394
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (3/4) | +22% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +57% | 1 |
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +22%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +57%
Track record
80% hit · 4/5| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | $9.9k | 63.6¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $3.2k | 59.5¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $6.0k | 86.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | No | $100 | 88.5¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Yes | $940 | 13.0¢ | Lost |
- No$9.9k @ 63.6¢
- No$3.2k @ 59.5¢
- No$6.0k @ 86.0¢
- No$100 @ 88.5¢
- Yes$940 @ 13.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $15.8k | 84.3¢ |
- No$15.8k @ 84.3¢