0xe84f…af9c

Specialization by sphere

• Other18 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (11/18)

  ROI

  +78%

• Politics17 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (9/17)

  ROI

  +42%

• Culture11 bets

  Hit rate

  27% (3/11)

  ROI

  +57%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +49%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +420%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
  Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
• Will Seoul have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?Won
  No$43 @ 60.0¢
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
• Will Bernard Sévigny win the next Richmond Quebec National Assembly election?Lost
  No$3 @ 59.0¢
• Will Lawrence Kellogg earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Won
  No$40 @ 72.0¢
• Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
• Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by October 31?Won
  Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
• Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Won
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Joe Bart & Lacy Win Jynxzi's R6 2v2 Tournament?Lost
  No$2 @ 35.0¢
• Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
  No$12 @ 54.0¢
• Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before the midterms?Won
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
  No$4 @ 78.0¢
• Will The Odyssey have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
• Will Jin-Quan Yu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 4.4¢
• Will the Cardinals win the season series against the 49ers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 32.8¢
• Will DENDELE Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by August 31?Won
  No$6 @ 10.0¢
• Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
  No$12 @ 65.0¢
• Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Lost
  No$16 @ 78.0¢
• Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 5?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 50.0¢
• Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?Won
  No$18 @ 65.0¢
• Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Falcons vs Saints game?Won
  Yes$11 @ 75.0¢
• Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Won
  Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
• Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $8.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Won
  No$4 @ 79.6¢
• Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Won
  Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
• Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on August 25?Won
  No$3 @ 12.0¢
• Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?Won
  Yes$3 @ 67.0¢
• Will Identity V Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will donk be the EWC CS2 2026 MVP?Lost
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 5.0¢
• Will "Trump" be in the headlines this week?Won
  Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
• Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsWon
  Yes$34 @ 52.4¢
• Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
• Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
• Will Wildcard Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
• Will Atlanta Dream advance to the Semifinals in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Won
  Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
• Will "DTF St. Louis" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Won
  No$4 @ 20.0¢
• Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?Won
  Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
• Will the Tidö parties win by 1–2 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
• Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?Won
  Yes$15 @ 50.0¢
• Will Chinedu Obiekea win Mr. Olympia 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 62.0¢
• Will Io Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 48.0¢
• Will Eric Jacobsen win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
• Will CPRF win the next Leningrad Oblast Parliament elections?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?Won
  CDU$11 @ 53.0¢
• Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
• Will Marie-Claude Sarrazin win the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election?Lost
  No$4 @ 71.0¢

Current positions

• Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$58 @ 93.0¢
• Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$56 @ 94.0¢
• Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Tech
  No$49 @ 93.5¢
• Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$42 @ 96.0¢
• Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Politics
  Yes$41 @ 87.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$32 @ 64.0¢
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?Tech
  No$26 @ 88.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Crypto
  Yes$21 @ 6.9¢
• Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Business
  No$20 @ 51.0¢
• Will Simon peak at Category 5?Science
  No$16 @ 81.0¢
• Will Jonathan Taylor be the highest-scoring FLEX of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
  No$15 @ 76.0¢
• Will Simon peak at Category 3?Science
  No$14 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Carolina Hurricanes record 100+ points?Sports
  No$14 @ 68.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?Politics
  No$13 @ 66.0¢
• Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?Geopolitics
  Yes$13 @ 64.5¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech
  No$13 @ 64.0¢
• Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will the Dolphins win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will the Cardinals win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
  Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
• Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$11 @ 98.5¢
• Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?Business
  No$10 @ 52.0¢
• Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Business
  No$10 @ 51.0¢
• Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
  Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
• Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Business
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢