0xe80f…3354

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe80fa37ec3c8a4043e04b28b1a053785325d3354
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+27%

Win rate

47% @ 36.7¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

1753

Avg size

$171

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (155/356)	+22%	356
Sports	45% (66/146)	+46%	146
Crypto	64% (16/25)	+23%	25
Politics	71% (5/7)	+33%	7
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other356 bets
Hit rate
44% (155/356)
ROI
+22%
Sports146 bets
Hit rate
45% (66/146)
ROI
+46%
Crypto25 bets
Hit rate
64% (16/25)
ROI
+23%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+33%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 242/536

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	$35	7.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	$50	25.0¢	Won
FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$340	17.0¢	Lost
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$236	5.9¢	Lost
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.5k	15.0¢	Lost
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$202	15.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$7	7.0¢	Lost
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	$180	72.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$100	25.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$495	49.5¢	Won
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$102	21.0¢	Lost
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	Yes	$22	20.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	$115	11.0¢	Won
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$57	10.7¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?	No	$300	60.0¢	Lost
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?	No	$150	1.5¢	Lost
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?	No	$18	89.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	FaZe	$250	50.0¢	Won
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	$16.0k	88.0¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$275	55.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$101	66.0¢	Won
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Over	$220	44.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$102	21.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$250	50.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$980	9.5¢	Won
Will Solana reach $240 in October?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Lost
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	$62	60.0¢	Won
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	Yes	$122	10.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo?	Yes	$50	1.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Under	$51	41.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$51	47.0¢	Won
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$194	1.4¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	$55	11.0¢	Lost
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$400	80.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	$307	22.0¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	$2	70.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	Yes	$250	25.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	Yes	$400	20.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$400	80.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	TheMongolz	$23	48.4¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	75.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B	FaZe	$90	45.0¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$30 @ 15.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$35 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Won
No$50 @ 25.0¢
FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$340 @ 17.0¢
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$236 @ 5.9¢
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1.5k @ 15.0¢
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$202 @ 15.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$7 @ 7.0¢
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Won
No$180 @ 72.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$100 @ 25.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
Team Falcons$495 @ 49.5¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 21.0¢
Tread FDV above $100M one day after launchLost
Yes$22 @ 20.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
Yes$115 @ 11.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$57 @ 10.7¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?Lost
No$300 @ 60.0¢
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Lost
No$150 @ 1.5¢
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?Won
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsWon
FaZe$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Won
No$16.0k @ 88.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$275 @ 55.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$101 @ 66.0¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$220 @ 44.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$102 @ 21.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$250 @ 50.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$980 @ 9.5¢
Will Solana reach $240 in October?Lost
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Won
Portugal$62 @ 60.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Lost
Yes$122 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$50 @ 1.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Won
Under$51 @ 41.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$51 @ 47.0¢
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$194 @ 1.4¢
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$55 @ 11.0¢
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$400 @ 80.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao FonsecaLost
Joao Fonseca$307 @ 22.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5Won
Under 5.5$2 @ 70.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Lost
Yes$250 @ 25.0¢
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?Won
Yes$400 @ 20.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?Won
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$400 @ 80.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Won
TheMongolz$23 @ 48.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BWon
FaZe$90 @ 45.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$3.2k	64.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1.5k	30.0¢
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.1k	15.0¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	25.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1000	10.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$325	65.0¢
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$300	60.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$300	60.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$250	50.0¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Sports	No	$250	50.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$200	20.0¢

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$3.2k @ 64.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1.5k @ 30.0¢
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.1k @ 15.0¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 25.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1000 @ 10.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$325 @ 65.0¢
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto
Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
No$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
No$250 @ 50.0¢
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$200 @ 20.0¢