← Smart money
0xe7fd…89de
ProfitableEdge
+6.8pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
58% @ 51.0¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
973
Avg size
$836
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (44/79) | +18% | 79 |
| Sports | 45% (19/42) | +37% | 42 |
| Politics | 40% (2/5) | -14% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +64% | 1 |
- Other79 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (44/79)
- ROI
- +18%
- Sports42 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (19/42)
- ROI
- +37%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -14%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +64%
Track record
52% hit · 66/128- Yes$816 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$17.1k @ 48.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$3.0k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 56.0¢
- Makhachev$10.8k @ 72.3¢
- Under$1.3k @ 52.8¢
- Alex Pereira$375 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$920 @ 46.0¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$1.9k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 52.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$5.7k @ 56.0¢
- Robert Whittaker$271 @ 53.0¢
- Magic$1 @ 56.0¢
- Netherlands$4.9k @ 60.0¢
- Jaume Munar$2.7k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$365 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$497 @ 49.0¢
- Thunder$4.8k @ 48.0¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$6.5k @ 65.0¢
- Yes$508 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$856 @ 27.0¢
- No$12.1k @ 81.0¢
- Nuggets$5.5k @ 55.0¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 9.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 18.7¢
- Pistons$430 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 53.0¢
- Nuggets$1.6k @ 54.0¢
- Yes$24.9k @ 12.1¢
- Yes$336 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$256 @ 20.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 77.6¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$13.4k @ 59.7¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 66.0¢
- Yes$267 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$15.0k @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10.1k @ 28.5¢
- Northern Ireland$2.6k @ 52.0¢
- Spurs$980 @ 49.0¢
- Knicks$2.9k @ 58.0¢
- No$3.0k @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 85.1¢
- Yes$73.4k @ 55.0¢
- Over$5.0k @ 62.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 74.0¢
- Pistons$6.0k @ 60.0¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 59.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $21.0k | 48.5¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $5.1k | 89.0¢ |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $4.6k | 22.0¢ |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $2.9k | 21.9¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $2.3k | 52.8¢ |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $2.1k | 20.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $1.7k | 23.6¢ |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $1.6k | 13.5¢ |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $1.0k | 14.0¢ |
- Yes$21.0k @ 48.5¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 22.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 21.9¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 52.8¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 23.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 13.5¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 14.0¢