← Smart money
0xe7db…c00c
SharpEdge
+2.6pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
16% @ 13.3¢
Brier
0.114
Resolved
4164
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 19% (127/658) | +49% | 658 |
| Politics | 16% (7/43) | -50% | 43 |
| Sports | 29% (9/31) | -16% | 31 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other658 bets
- Hit rate
- 19% (127/658)
- ROI
- +49%
- Politics43 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (7/43)
- ROI
- -50%
- Sports31 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (9/31)
- ROI
- -16%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
19% hit · 143/736- No$21 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
- Over$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 20.7¢
- Yes$52 @ 0.2¢
- Warriors$3 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 59.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$741 @ 36.6¢
- Yes$20 @ 55.8¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 36% and 38%?LostYes$6 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.5¢
- No$4 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$53 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$235 @ 21.5¢
- No$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?LostYes$24 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$149 @ 29.5¢
- No$7 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$317 @ 38.6¢
- San Diego Toreros$1 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- No$75 @ 9.6¢
- No$8 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $55 | 10.1¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $30 | 30.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $25 | 49.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $22 | 24.0¢ |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $21 | 35.2¢ |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.9¢ |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.6¢ |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ |
- Yes$55 @ 10.1¢
- No$30 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 24.0¢
- No$21 @ 35.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢