0xe762…064b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe762c62c0cd669fe9f6c7ac08be8e2700418064b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.6pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

49% @ 36.4¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

404

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (43/100)	+43%	100
Politics	35% (13/37)	+16%	37
Sports	45% (10/22)	-1%	22
Geopolitics	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+133%	1

Other100 bets
Hit rate
43% (43/100)
ROI
+43%
Politics37 bets
Hit rate
35% (13/37)
ROI
+16%
Sports22 bets
Hit rate
45% (10/22)
ROI
-1%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+133%

Track record

40% hit · 67/169

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$13	35.0¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$6	17.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$17	45.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$248	46.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$27	18.3¢	Lost
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	16.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$10	59.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$45	25.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$6	4.0¢	Lost
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$9	7.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$18	13.2¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$179	70.1¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$13	14.1¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	$12	12.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$4	16.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?	Yes	$22	26.8¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$7	10.0¢	Lost
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02?	Yes	$8	71.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$7	34.0¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$12	5.6¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$55	52.3¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?	Yes	$19	58.1¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$121	37.1¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$77	31.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$22	15.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	5.9¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	$338	44.3¢	Won
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$79	23.8¢	Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$23	22.4¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$101	57.5¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$29	55.9¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$65	36.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$136	27.8¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$9	52.2¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$25	28.6¢	Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	$37	35.0¢	Lost
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	No	$52	74.4¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$230	66.4¢	Won
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$17	24.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$22	16.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	54.2¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$29	20.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	No	$18	26.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	$393	68.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	$31	44.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$70	40.1¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	Yes	$16	11.3¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$17	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$6	1.8¢	Lost

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$13 @ 35.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
No$6 @ 17.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$17 @ 45.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$248 @ 46.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$27 @ 18.3¢
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 16.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$10 @ 59.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$45 @ 25.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Lost
No$18 @ 13.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$179 @ 70.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 14.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Lost
No$12 @ 12.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Lost
Yes$4 @ 16.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?Lost
Yes$22 @ 26.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.0¢
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-02?Won
Yes$8 @ 71.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLost
Portugal$7 @ 34.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 5.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$55 @ 52.3¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?Won
Yes$19 @ 58.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Won
No$121 @ 37.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$77 @ 31.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
Yes$22 @ 15.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 5.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Won
No$338 @ 44.3¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$79 @ 23.8¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 22.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Won
No$101 @ 57.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
Yes$29 @ 55.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Lost
No$65 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$136 @ 27.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 52.2¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 28.6¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Lost
No$37 @ 35.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 74.4¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$230 @ 66.4¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
Yes$22 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$25 @ 54.2¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Lost
Yes$29 @ 20.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Lost
No$18 @ 26.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
Yes$393 @ 68.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Lost
No$31 @ 44.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Lost
No$70 @ 40.1¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Lost
Yes$16 @ 11.3¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$17 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.8¢

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