0xe732…898f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe732156a2d84cdfb4de831d3f11a22899e49898f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.9pp

ROI

+31%

Win rate

45% @ 37.3¢

Brier

0.182

Resolved

261

Avg size

$88

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (19/43)	-31%	43
Sports	56% (10/18)	+21%	18
Politics	46% (6/13)	-3%	13
Tech	9% (1/11)	-75%	11
Economy	33% (3/9)	+50%	9
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+125%	3
Culture	50% (1/2)	-89%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other43 bets
Hit rate
44% (19/43)
ROI
-31%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
ROI
+21%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
ROI
-3%
Tech11 bets
Hit rate
9% (1/11)
ROI
-75%
Economy9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+50%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+125%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-89%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 42/100

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$18	4.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$164	10.5¢	Lost
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner	GIANTX	$956	36.8¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$255	9.4¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.5k	75.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$4.1k	82.2¢	Won
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner	GIANTX	$257	61.0¢	Won
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$17	87.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	$140	30.6¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$113	65.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.6k	36.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$350	36.3¢	Lost
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner	LOS	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$96	12.8¢	Lost
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$17	84.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1.2k	57.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$294	58.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Won
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?	No	$67	24.4¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	$20	19.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$57	48.0¢	Won
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	$56	28.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	$52	15.1¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$1.5k	38.3¢	Won
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$175	2.4¢	Lost
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$107	53.0¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$71	63.9¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	Yes	$143	43.4¢	Lost
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$502	62.3¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner	G2 Esports	$293	52.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$87	31.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?	Yes	$16	24.0¢	Won
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	$235	23.0¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	$98	10.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$126	21.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$206	73.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$1.3k	45.0¢	Lost
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1.2k	89.0¢	Won
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$340	77.0¢	Won
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?	No	$381	56.8¢	Won
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?	Yes	$67	65.9¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$41	8.5¢	Lost
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?	No	$20	15.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$8	13.4¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$486	41.8¢	Won
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	$254	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner	Shopify Rebellion	$199	26.3¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$24	0.4¢	Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	Cloud9	$154	34.2¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5	Over	$164	81.8¢	Won

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 4.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$164 @ 10.5¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerWon
GIANTX$956 @ 36.8¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$255 @ 9.4¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 82.2¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerWon
GIANTX$257 @ 61.0¢
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$17 @ 87.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
No$140 @ 30.6¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$113 @ 65.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.6k @ 36.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$350 @ 36.3¢
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 WinnerLost
LOS$15 @ 3.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$96 @ 12.8¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
Yes$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 57.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$294 @ 58.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Lost
No$67 @ 24.4¢
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Lost
Yes$20 @ 19.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$57 @ 48.0¢
Megaquake by June 30?Lost
Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?Lost
No$52 @ 15.1¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 38.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$175 @ 2.4¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$107 @ 53.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Won
No$71 @ 63.9¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Lost
Yes$143 @ 43.4¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$502 @ 62.3¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerLost
G2 Esports$293 @ 52.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$87 @ 31.4¢
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland?Won
Yes$16 @ 24.0¢
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Lost
Yes$235 @ 23.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
No$98 @ 10.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Lost
No$126 @ 21.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$206 @ 73.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 45.0¢
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 89.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Won
Yes$340 @ 77.0¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Won
No$381 @ 56.8¢
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Lost
Yes$67 @ 65.9¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$41 @ 8.5¢
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?Lost
No$20 @ 15.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
No$8 @ 13.4¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$486 @ 41.8¢
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Won
Yes$254 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 WinnerLost
Shopify Rebellion$199 @ 26.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
No$24 @ 0.4¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerLost
Cloud9$154 @ 34.2¢
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Won
Over$164 @ 81.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$416	37.4¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	—	No	$215	72.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$167	67.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$153	62.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	—	Yes	$149	55.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$115	13.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	—	No	$93	64.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$68	14.7¢
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	No	$63	45.0¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$49	13.6¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$42	64.8¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$38	4.7¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$26	12.3¢
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$23	16.1¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	Yes	$18	2.6¢
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$17	11.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$15	28.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	—	Yes	$14	19.0¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$12	10.8¢
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Sports	Yes	$9	44.1¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$8	6.2¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	—	Yes	$6	7.2¢
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1	49.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	—	Yes	$0	10.3¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$416 @ 37.4¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?—
No$215 @ 72.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$167 @ 67.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$153 @ 62.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?—
Yes$149 @ 55.3¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$115 @ 13.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?—
No$93 @ 64.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$68 @ 14.7¢
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
No$63 @ 45.0¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$49 @ 13.6¢
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Politics
No$42 @ 64.8¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$38 @ 4.7¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$26 @ 12.3¢
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$23 @ 16.1¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech
Yes$18 @ 2.6¢
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$17 @ 11.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
Yes$15 @ 28.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?—
Yes$14 @ 19.0¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$12 @ 10.8¢
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Sports
Yes$9 @ 44.1¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$8 @ 6.2¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?—
Yes$6 @ 7.2¢
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?—
Yes$0 @ 10.3¢