← Smart money
0xe65a…4a49
ProfitableEdge
+35.1pp
ROI
+91%
Win rate
89% @ 53.5¢
Brier
0.252
Resolved
123
Avg size
$38
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 89% (8/9) | +104% | 9 |
| Sports | 25% (1/4) | -33% | 4 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +113% | 1 |
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (8/9)
- ROI
- +104%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -33%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +113%
Track record
67% hit · 10/15| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Movistar KOI Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage? | Yes | $6 | 13.8¢ | Lost |
| Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5 | Over | $55 | 48.0¢ | Lost |
| Spread: Vikings (-7.5) | Vikings | $75 | 42.0¢ | Lost |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $192 | 73.0¢ | Won |
| Will Matthew Stafford lead the NFL in passing yards this season? | Yes | $360 | 67.4¢ | Won |
| Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28? | No | $464 | 65.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28? | Yes | $331 | 78.7¢ | Won |
| Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | No | $130 | 38.0¢ | Won |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $278 | 37.0¢ | Lost |
| Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | $252 | 28.0¢ | Won |
| Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31? | Yes | $1.9k | 37.2¢ | Won |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | $346 | 48.0¢ | Won |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | $92 | 47.0¢ | Won |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $230 | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | No | $89 | 59.6¢ | Won |
- Yes$6 @ 13.8¢
- Over$55 @ 48.0¢
- Vikings$75 @ 42.0¢
- No$192 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 67.4¢
- No$464 @ 65.3¢
- Yes$331 @ 78.7¢
- No$130 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$278 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$252 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 37.2¢
- Yes$346 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$230 @ 80.0¢
- No$89 @ 59.6¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
- Spread: Vikings (-7.5)SportsVikings$75 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 34.0¢
- No$62 @ 78.0¢
- Over$55 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 50.1¢
- Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
- No$52 @ 49.5¢
- No$44 @ 56.0¢
- No$39 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
- No$30 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 60.9¢
- No$25 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 16.4¢
- No$14 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 6.9¢
- No$8 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 6.5¢
- No$8 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
- No$2 @ 38.0¢