0xe624…e63b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe62432e79c249db6f80ace553727220cf81fe63b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+37.9pp

ROI

+70%

Win rate

91% @ 53.6¢

Brier

0.210

Resolved

270

Avg size

$197

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (14/21)	+89%	21
Politics	67% (2/3)	+20%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+16%	1
Culture	100% (1/1)	+34%	1

Other21 bets
Hit rate
67% (14/21)
ROI
+89%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+20%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+34%

Track record

69% hit · 18/26

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Eric Adams endorse Sliwa?	Yes	$10	1.7¢	Lost
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?	Yes	$170	81.9¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$2.6k	80.8¢	Won
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$350	44.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$200	86.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$100	20.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1000	63.0¢	Won
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	Yes	$300	51.2¢	Won
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	$7.0k	74.5¢	Won
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$300	81.2¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$260	9.1¢	Lost
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$261	86.0¢	Won
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?	Yes	$1.7k	49.1¢	Won
Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?	Yes	$50	48.5¢	Lost
Will Eric Adams drop out?	Yes	$3.2k	63.4¢	Won
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$83	29.1¢	Lost
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?	Yes	$5.2k	36.4¢	Won
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?	No	$120	87.0¢	Won
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$220	11.0¢	Lost
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$6.3k	83.4¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15	51.0¢	Lost
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	$18	60.9¢	Lost
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?	Yes	$22.6k	53.6¢	Won
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$20	42.9¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?	Yes	$671	17.0¢	Lost
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$380	81.9¢	Won

Will Eric Adams endorse Sliwa?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.7¢
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?Won
Yes$170 @ 81.9¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
No$2.6k @ 80.8¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Won
Yes$350 @ 44.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$200 @ 86.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1000 @ 63.0¢
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Won
Yes$300 @ 51.2¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Won
No$7.0k @ 74.5¢
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?Won
Yes$300 @ 81.2¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$260 @ 9.1¢
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Won
No$261 @ 86.0¢
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 49.1¢
Will Bill Ackman say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during the X Space event on November 18?Lost
Yes$50 @ 48.5¢
Will Eric Adams drop out?Won
Yes$3.2k @ 63.4¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
Yes$83 @ 29.1¢
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?Won
Yes$5.2k @ 36.4¢
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?Won
No$120 @ 87.0¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Lost
Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
Yes$6.3k @ 83.4¢
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15 @ 51.0¢
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 225k and 250k?Lost
Yes$18 @ 60.9¢
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Won
Yes$22.6k @ 53.6¢
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
Yes$20 @ 42.9¢
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Lost
Yes$671 @ 17.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Won
Yes$380 @ 81.9¢

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