← Smart money
0xe5ed…5e8c
SharpEdge
+7.1pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
32% @ 25.3¢
Brier
0.146
Resolved
188
Avg size
$6
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 43% (12/28) | +8% | 28 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
- Other28 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (12/28)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
42% hit · 13/31- Yes$10 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$54 @ 77.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 28.5¢
- No$1 @ 37.2¢
- Yes$101 @ 34.5¢
- Yes$97 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.5¢
- No$29 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$156 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$80 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$68 @ 73.1¢
- No$126 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 28.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$15 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 40.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Tech | No | $287 | 71.2¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Tech | No | $180 | 47.0¢ |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Economy | Yes | $66 | 83.0¢ |
- No$287 @ 71.2¢
- No$180 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 83.0¢