0xe561…8632

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe561b300d78898ccc491d49d8fcd9dcbde368632
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.3pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

35% @ 23.7¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

203

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (12/29)	+56%	29
Science	27% (6/22)	+2%	22
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other29 bets
Hit rate
41% (12/29)
ROI
+56%
Science22 bets
Hit rate
27% (6/22)
ROI
+2%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

35% hit · 18/52

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$23	7.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$89	53.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?	Yes	$24	12.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 23?	Yes	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$72	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?	No	$32	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?	Yes	$272	43.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 23?	Yes	$17	3.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 22?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23?	Yes	$0	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	$95	39.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?	Yes	$275	37.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22?	Yes	$68	15.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?	Yes	$32	19.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	No	$22	62.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 22?	Yes	$69	46.1¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 21?	Yes	$9	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?	No	$28	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 22?	Yes	$18	11.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on September 7?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on September 16?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 23?	Yes	$22	6.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 23?	Yes	$61	41.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 16?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	$34	50.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?	No	$20	32.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?	No	$17	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	Yes	$6	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?	No	$92	79.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?	No	$60	79.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	$22	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	45.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on September 14?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	$14	29.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 15?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?	No	$2	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?	No	$13	70.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?	No	$29	82.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?	Yes	$92	35.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Won
Yes$23 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$89 @ 53.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 10?Lost
Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$72 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Won
No$32 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?Won
Yes$272 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$17 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$95 @ 39.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22?Lost
Yes$275 @ 37.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 22?Lost
Yes$68 @ 15.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$32 @ 19.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?Won
No$22 @ 62.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 22?Won
Yes$69 @ 46.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 19?Won
No$28 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 22?Won
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$18 @ 11.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on September 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C or below on September 16?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$22 @ 6.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 23?Won
Yes$61 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?Lost
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?Won
Yes$34 @ 50.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?Won
No$20 @ 32.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22?Won
No$17 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?Won
No$92 @ 79.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?Won
No$60 @ 79.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 45.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on September 14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 18?Won
Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 22?Lost
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?Lost
No$13 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?Won
No$29 @ 82.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$92 @ 35.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Science	Yes	$26	39.0¢

Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Science
Yes$26 @ 39.0¢