0xe555…a91d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe5554c0ddb96628641f079edb419fb47fb2ea91d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+147%

Win rate

22% @ 13.4¢

Brier

0.161

Resolved

1759

Avg size

$68

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	16% (14/90)	-30%	90
Politics	18% (7/40)	+264%	40
Crypto	13% (1/8)	-94%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Sports	50% (2/4)	+175%	4
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other90 bets
Hit rate
16% (14/90)
ROI
-30%
Politics40 bets
Hit rate
18% (7/40)
ROI
+264%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-94%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+175%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

16% hit · 24/149

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?	No	$142	16.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	Yes	$40	6.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?	Yes	$16	0.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$2.3k	44.9¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$2.7k	26.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$823	4.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 23?	Yes	$7	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Yes	$119	24.2¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$15.8k	17.3¢	Lost
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	22.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$1.0k	29.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	$17	1.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 24?	Yes	$100	2.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$110	7.3¢	Lost
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?	Yes	$163	11.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$4.1k	83.5¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$320	16.0¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$18	1.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	$151	28.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?	No	$78	10.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	Yes	$620	4.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?	No	$81	12.5¢	Lost
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$110	2.2¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$696	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$4.7k	7.2¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	27.5¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$149	16.0¢	Lost
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$64	25.0¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5	Over	$285	28.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	Yes	$40	6.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$15.7k	28.9¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$2.8k	48.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	$693	0.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	$304	65.2¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$381	40.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 15?	Yes	$4	3.9¢	Lost
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$760	4.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	$46	4.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$1.6k	3.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$1.3k	15.7¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$197	24.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?	No	$138	0.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$536	55.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Lost
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$545	4.4¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$327	13.1¢	Lost
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	$308	6.0¢	Lost
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	$132	16.0¢	Won

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Lost
No$142 @ 16.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?Lost
Yes$40 @ 6.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?Lost
Yes$16 @ 0.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$2.3k @ 44.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 26.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$823 @ 4.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 23?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Lost
Yes$119 @ 24.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$15.8k @ 17.3¢
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 29.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 on May 24?Lost
Yes$100 @ 2.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$110 @ 7.3¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Lost
Yes$163 @ 11.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
No$4.1k @ 83.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$320 @ 16.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$18 @ 1.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?Lost
Yes$151 @ 28.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?Lost
No$78 @ 10.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?Lost
Yes$620 @ 4.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?Lost
No$81 @ 12.5¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$110 @ 2.2¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Lost
Yes$696 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.7k @ 7.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 27.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$149 @ 16.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$64 @ 25.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$285 @ 28.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?Won
Yes$40 @ 6.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$15.7k @ 28.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$2.8k @ 48.4¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Lost
No$693 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Won
Yes$304 @ 65.2¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$381 @ 40.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.9¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$760 @ 4.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 22?Lost
Yes$46 @ 4.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 3.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$1.3k @ 15.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
Yes$197 @ 24.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 24?Lost
No$138 @ 0.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$536 @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$545 @ 4.4¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$327 @ 13.1¢
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenLost
Rico$308 @ 6.0¢
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico VerhoevenWon
Usyk$132 @ 16.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.3k	13.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.1k	10.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$120	12.0¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$1.3k @ 13.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$1.1k @ 10.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$120 @ 12.0¢