0xe4cf…f9bc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe4cf63c72a497c3c38860de1b9503f1fd717f9bc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

49% @ 42.4¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

436

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (32/82)	-15%	82
Politics	36% (27/74)	+50%	74
Sports	58% (7/12)	+15%	12
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other82 bets
Hit rate
39% (32/82)
ROI
-15%
Politics74 bets
Hit rate
36% (27/74)
ROI
+50%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+15%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 66/169

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: FCSB (-1.5)	FCSB	$7	39.0¢	Lost
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to Advance	Universitatea Craiova CS	$1	38.0¢	Lost
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advance	FCSB	$91	55.6¢	Lost
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	$2	30.5¢	Lost
FC Rapid 1923 leading at halftime?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance	Algeria	$2	33.5¢	Lost
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Australia	$5	47.0¢	Lost
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals	No	$10	59.4¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance	Ecuador	$5	38.0¢	Lost
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	$3	11.3¢	Lost
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	$4	10.1¢	Lost
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	$4	25.6¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$5	41.0¢	Won
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Won
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$8	53.1¢	Won
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	$18	64.8¢	Won
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$10	52.1¢	Won
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$17	46.6¢	Won
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$15	64.7¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$3	37.5¢	Won

Spread: FCSB (-1.5)Lost
FCSB$7 @ 39.0¢
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to AdvanceLost
Universitatea Craiova CS$1 @ 38.0¢
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to AdvanceLost
FCSB$91 @ 55.6¢
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.5¢
FC Rapid 1923 leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceLost
Algeria$2 @ 33.5¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLost
Australia$5 @ 47.0¢
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsLost
No$10 @ 59.4¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceLost
Ecuador$5 @ 38.0¢
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 11.3¢
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.1¢
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Won
Yes$4 @ 25.6¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 53.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
Yes$18 @ 64.8¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Won
Yes$10 @ 52.1¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$17 @ 46.6¢
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska?Won
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 64.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 37.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?	—	No	$107	31.2¢
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advance	—	FCSB	$91	55.6¢
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	—	No	$65	15.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	—	No	$46	48.0¢
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?	—	No	$44	45.2¢
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds	—	Over	$42	24.9¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$32	51.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Politics	Yes	$31	46.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	—	No	$24	18.8¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	—	No	$18	40.4¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?	—	No	$13	37.0¢
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	—	Yes	$13	40.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	—	Yes	$11	49.0¢
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals	—	No	$10	59.4¢
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$9	11.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$8	38.9¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?	—	Yes	$8	18.6¢
Spread: FCSB (-1.5)	—	FCSB	$7	39.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?	Politics	No	$7	54.0¢
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?	—	No	$6	47.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$6	57.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	Politics	Yes	$6	39.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$6	33.1¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$6	46.3¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	—	Australia	$5	47.0¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?	—	Yes	$5	41.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	—	Yes	$5	14.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	Politics	Yes	$5	8.6¢
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?	—	Yes	$5	2.5¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Politics	Yes	$5	18.7¢

Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?—
No$107 @ 31.2¢
FK Auda vs. FCSB: Team to Advance—
FCSB$91 @ 55.6¢
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?—
No$65 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?—
No$46 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?—
No$44 @ 45.2¢
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds—
Over$42 @ 24.9¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$32 @ 51.4¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Politics
Yes$31 @ 46.6¢
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?—
No$24 @ 18.8¢
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?—
No$18 @ 40.4¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?—
No$13 @ 37.0¢
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?—
Yes$13 @ 40.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?—
Yes$11 @ 49.0¢
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals—
No$10 @ 59.4¢
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?Politics
Yes$9 @ 11.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$8 @ 38.9¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?—
Yes$8 @ 18.6¢
Spread: FCSB (-1.5)—
FCSB$7 @ 39.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Politics
No$7 @ 54.0¢
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?—
No$6 @ 47.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$6 @ 57.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Politics
Yes$6 @ 39.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$6 @ 33.1¢
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?Politics
Yes$6 @ 46.3¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance—
Australia$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?—
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?—
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?Politics
Yes$5 @ 8.6¢
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?—
Yes$5 @ 2.5¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
Yes$5 @ 18.7¢