0xe4c1…5a18

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe4c156a88aea73366bce97609ae88533419d5a18
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+15.3pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

53% @ 37.9¢

Brier

0.292

Resolved

316

Avg size

$56

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (21/39)	+24%	39
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+0%	1

Other39 bets
Hit rate
54% (21/39)
ROI
+24%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+0%

Track record

55% hit · 22/40

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	$77	99.7¢	Won
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	Yes	$559	51.4¢	Won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Anyones Legend	$162	81.0¢	Won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Weibo Gaming	$16	13.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)	Gen.G	$10	78.0¢	Won
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?	Yes	$82	0.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$572	71.5¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	$994	77.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	Yes	$349	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?	Yes	$7	2.8¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	BNK FEARX	$78	38.8¢	Won
Megaquake by September 30?	Yes	$22	3.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	$1.9k	70.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?	No	$13	47.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	$38	19.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs	G2 Esports	$178	14.9¢	Won
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	No	$552	75.8¢	Won
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	Yes	$523	32.4¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner	G2 Esports	$40	20.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner	BNK FEARX	$78	39.0¢	Won
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Weibo Gaming	$2.1k	48.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	G2 Esports	$1.4k	18.0¢	Won
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legend	Gen.G	$321	63.6¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$652	57.2¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	$46	81.0¢	Won
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	No	$128	86.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?	Yes	$173	8.8¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$1.1k	45.5¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$549	54.9¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	BNK FEARX	$2.3k	39.7¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A	Bilibili Gaming	$1.6k	66.0¢	Won
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming	Bilibili Gaming	$60	49.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In	Karmine Corp	$16	77.0¢	Lost
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?	Yes	$581	12.2¢	Lost
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuest	G2 Esports	$29	46.0¢	Lost
Megaquake by March 31?	No	$111	81.9¢	Won
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?	No	$133	83.0¢	Won
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOI	CTBC	$226	58.0¢	Won

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Won
No$77 @ 99.7¢
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Won
Yes$559 @ 51.4¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Won
Anyones Legend$162 @ 81.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Lost
Weibo Gaming$16 @ 13.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)Won
Gen.G$10 @ 78.0¢
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?Lost
Yes$82 @ 0.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$572 @ 71.5¢
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Gen.G$994 @ 77.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Lost
Yes$349 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?Lost
Yes$7 @ 2.8¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerWon
BNK FEARX$78 @ 38.8¢
Megaquake by September 30?Lost
Yes$22 @ 3.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWon
Bilibili Gaming$1.9k @ 70.0¢
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Lost
No$13 @ 47.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
G2 Esports$38 @ 19.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsWon
G2 Esports$178 @ 14.9¢
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Won
No$552 @ 75.8¢
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Lost
Yes$523 @ 32.4¢
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerWon
G2 Esports$40 @ 20.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerWon
BNK FEARX$78 @ 39.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLost
Weibo Gaming$2.1k @ 48.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AWon
G2 Esports$1.4k @ 18.0¢
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's LegendWon
Gen.G$321 @ 63.6¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$652 @ 57.2¢
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWon
Gen.G$46 @ 81.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Won
No$128 @ 86.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$173 @ 8.8¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
No$1.1k @ 45.5¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$549 @ 54.9¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ALost
BNK FEARX$2.3k @ 39.7¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AWon
Bilibili Gaming$1.6k @ 66.0¢
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili GamingLost
Bilibili Gaming$60 @ 49.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InLost
Karmine Corp$16 @ 77.0¢
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?Lost
Yes$581 @ 12.2¢
MSI Playoffs: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestLost
G2 Esports$29 @ 46.0¢
Megaquake by March 31?Won
No$111 @ 81.9¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?Won
No$133 @ 83.0¢
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Movistar KOIWon
CTBC$226 @ 58.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$39	96.4¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$37	96.2¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Politics	No	$11	88.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$39 @ 96.4¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$37 @ 96.2¢
US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics
No$11 @ 88.0¢