← Smart money
0xe499…e9e4
ProfitableEdge
+23.9pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
69% @ 45.5¢
Brier
0.211
Resolved
36
Avg size
$16
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (8/16) | -67% | 16 |
| Sports | 77% (10/13) | +50% | 13 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +33% | 1 |
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (8/16)
- ROI
- -67%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (10/13)
- ROI
- +50%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
63% hit · 19/30- Kings$30 @ 33.0¢
- Kings$1 @ 33.0¢
- Pistons$2 @ 56.0¢
- No$30 @ 74.0¢
- Celtics$8 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 75.0¢
- Hawks vs. MagicLostMagic$30 @ 69.0¢
- Celtics$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 58.6¢
- Lakers$30 @ 67.0¢
- Suns$1 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 21.7¢
- Pelicans$2 @ 24.0¢
- No$10 @ 35.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
- No$101 @ 55.8¢
- 76ers$1 @ 54.0¢
- Thunder$5 @ 54.0¢
- Pistons$5 @ 49.0¢
- Magic$2 @ 76.0¢
- France$51 @ 57.0¢
- 76ers$4 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
- 76ers$30 @ 47.0¢
- 76ers$10 @ 33.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | No | $100 | 81.0¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 45.0¢ |
- No$100 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 45.0¢