← Smart money
0xe411…04c5
SharpEdge
+2.5pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
44% @ 41.6¢
Brier
0.171
Resolved
4191
Avg size
$157
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (275/631) | +6% | 631 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other631 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (275/631)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
43% hit · 275/634- No$11 @ 55.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 65.0¢
- No$115 @ 67.9¢
- Yes$39 @ 9.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.3¢
- No$8.1k @ 75.7¢
- Yes$42 @ 1.5¢
- Australia$1.4k @ 39.2¢
- India$109 @ 84.2¢
- No$243 @ 53.8¢
- Yes$650 @ 40.1¢
- No$105 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$145 @ 14.5¢
- No$3.6k @ 64.7¢
- Real Madrid$178 @ 45.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 36.1¢
- Under$28 @ 50.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 55.0¢
- SBW$30 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- No$6 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 33.0¢
- Alcaraz$23 @ 59.0¢
- Djokovic$24 @ 38.0¢
- Cilic$86 @ 10.0¢
- No$5.5k @ 63.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 27.0¢
- No$7.7k @ 36.8¢
- Yes$27.6k @ 38.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$570 @ 57.0¢
- No$470 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 86.6¢
- Yes$178 @ 29.5¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$139 @ 29.3¢
- Bilal Hasan$1.2k @ 84.0¢
- Nilson Rojas$254 @ 12.7¢
- No$0 @ 7.0¢
- No$600 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.2¢
- No$1.8k @ 29.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
- No$23 @ 23.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | No | $727 | 39.6¢ |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $632 | 4.8¢ |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $351 | 18.5¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | No | $46 | 92.4¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | Yes | $3 | 7.3¢ |
- No$727 @ 39.6¢
- Yes$632 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$351 @ 18.5¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$46 @ 92.4¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$3 @ 7.3¢