← Smart money
0xe3cb…ac21
SharpEdge
+9.5pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
69% @ 59.1¢
Brier
0.163
Resolved
929
Avg size
$1.2k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 65% (24/37) | +81% | 37 |
| Sports | 67% (18/27) | +38% | 27 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (6/8) | +2% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -27% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (2/2) | +44% | 2 |
- Other37 bets
- Hit rate
- 65% (24/37)
- ROI
- +81%
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (18/27)
- ROI
- +38%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +2%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -27%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +44%
Track record
67% hit · 51/76- Over$10.1k @ 52.5¢
- No$157.2k @ 85.1¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 4.7¢
- Under$214 @ 29.0¢
- Jordan$34.5k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$38.0k @ 60.4¢
- Morocco$6.1k @ 44.7¢
- No$2.1k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$745 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 78.0¢
- South Africa$2.8k @ 27.0¢
- No$4.8k @ 47.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 57.0¢
- No$5.3k @ 62.5¢
- No$173 @ 37.0¢
- No$3.1k @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Under$74 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$35.2k @ 52.8¢
- Argentina$25.1k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 61.0¢
- Team Liquid$352 @ 34.0¢
- Over$9.6k @ 43.0¢
- Under$418 @ 32.0¢
- No$25.7k @ 55.6¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 21.9¢
- Under$1.9k @ 40.0¢
- Even$47 @ 49.0¢
- Under$215 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$58.7k @ 89.2¢
- No$12.9k @ 35.7¢
- Under$4.1k @ 46.6¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 51.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 88.8¢
- Yes$73.2k @ 75.6¢
- No$37.2k @ 44.8¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 88.3¢
- Japan$53 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$35.4k @ 82.9¢
- Over$519 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 88.8¢
- No$4 @ 72.5¢
- Under$311 @ 70.3¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 26.1¢
- Team Liquid$273 @ 35.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$144.4k @ 87.5¢
- EYEBALLERS$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- Over$6.0k @ 24.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $10.4k | 43.6¢ |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $6.7k | 74.3¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $3.8k | 66.0¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1.9k | 49.4¢ |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1.5k | 89.1¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1.4k | 73.0¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1.3k | 65.0¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $925 | 74.0¢ |
| Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $651 | 93.3¢ |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $473 | 28.0¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $404 | 80.0¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $245 | 58.7¢ |
| Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $61 | 57.0¢ |
- No$10.4k @ 43.6¢
- No$6.7k @ 74.3¢
- No$3.8k @ 66.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 49.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.1¢
- No$1.4k @ 73.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 65.0¢
- No$925 @ 74.0¢
- No$651 @ 93.3¢
- No$473 @ 28.0¢
- No$404 @ 80.0¢
- No$245 @ 58.7¢
- No$61 @ 57.0¢