0xe39f…c040

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe39fdbc06583eea39264f7c20f42795616ddc040
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.5pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

16% @ 11.7¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

1216

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	20% (52/257)	+40%	257
Science	45% (10/22)	-3%	22

Other257 bets
Hit rate
20% (52/257)
ROI
+40%
Science22 bets
Hit rate
45% (10/22)
ROI
-3%

Track record

22% hit · 62/279

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	$12	12.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?	Yes	$9	23.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 4?	Yes	$29	19.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 3?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?	No	$38	95.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?	Yes	$19	25.7¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?	Yes	$68	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	$15	14.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	$25	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?	Yes	$11	8.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$23	10.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 6?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	$22	37.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	$6	4.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	$3	27.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 19?	Yes	$6	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 11?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?	Yes	$23	17.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	$5	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$17	24.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	No	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?	Yes	$12	11.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 17?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 17?	Yes	$4	10.9¢	Lost
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$56	56.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	$42	41.0¢	Won
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?	Yes	$53	49.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?	Yes	$8	69.9¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	$33	26.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 18?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31?	Yes	$1	6.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	$35	15.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$0	1.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	$6	8.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	$3	5.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 19?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	$1	5.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 24?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 9?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	$7	13.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	$5	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	$2	3.3¢	Won

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?Won
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 4?Lost
Yes$29 @ 19.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?Won
No$38 @ 95.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$19 @ 25.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?Won
Yes$68 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Won
Yes$15 @ 14.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?Won
Yes$11 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$23 @ 10.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28?Lost
Yes$22 @ 37.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Won
Yes$3 @ 27.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 19?Lost
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?Lost
Yes$23 @ 17.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$17 @ 24.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?Lost
No$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$12 @ 11.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.9¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 4?Won
Yes$42 @ 41.0¢
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?Won
Yes$53 @ 49.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?Won
Yes$8 @ 69.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$33 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on July 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 26?Won
Yes$35 @ 15.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C or higher on July 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on July 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?Lost
Yes$7 @ 13.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 25?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?Won
Yes$2 @ 3.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$28	70.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 6?	Science	Yes	$20	12.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 6?	Science	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5?	Science	Yes	$0	0.7¢

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?Science
Yes$28 @ 70.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 6?Science
Yes$20 @ 12.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 6?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 5?Science
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢