0xe350…c0c8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe350d874195530e434ed618c36262ddcbaf4c0c8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.6pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

43% @ 33.1¢

Brier

0.197

Resolved

370

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (74/177)	+9%	177
Politics	27% (4/15)	-64%	15
Sports	33% (2/6)	+81%	6
Crypto	33% (1/3)	+128%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other177 bets
Hit rate
42% (74/177)
ROI
+9%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
27% (4/15)
ROI
-64%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+81%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+128%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 81/202

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?	No	$25	50.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In	Cloud9	$20	32.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?	No	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?	No	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$111	46.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$25	25.0¢	Lost
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$30	0.6¢	Lost
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$71	7.3¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$54	22.4¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$59	29.2¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$59	29.5¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$37	17.7¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$35	35.2¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$20	34.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	$6	11.4¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	$25	51.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	$30	75.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	$3	48.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	$8	53.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	$19	51.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	$8	59.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	$1	26.2¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$137	49.4¢	Won
Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	$0	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	No	$49	32.0¢	Won
0x012bd38c…	Yes	$59	63.3¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Diesel" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?	No	$0	40.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?	No	$29	60.1¢	Won
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan Schoolkate	Tristan Schoolkate	$505	58.7¢	Lost
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines	Arizona Wildcats	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?	No	$79	48.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?	No	$39	16.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Falcons	Seahawks	$45	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?	No	$36	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$63	83.6¢	Won
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" 6+ times during statement on April 9?	No	$6	56.0¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5	Over	$25	49.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Miner" 3+ times during coal announcement?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Jensen" during Bret Baier interview?	No	$177	79.9¢	Won
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$65	27.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Drone" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	$0	18.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?	No	$65	21.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	$107	42.7¢	Won
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?	No	$55	33.2¢	Lost
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	13.7¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	$188	62.0¢	Lost
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?	No	$30	56.0¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Drug" or "Murderer" 10+ times during remarks in New York?Lost
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InLost
Cloud9$20 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Lost
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?Lost
No$9 @ 9.0¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$111 @ 46.0¢
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$30 @ 0.6¢
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$71 @ 7.3¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$54 @ 22.4¢
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$59 @ 29.2¢
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$59 @ 29.5¢
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$37 @ 17.7¢
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$35 @ 35.2¢
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$3 @ 18.0¢
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$20 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETLost
Up$25 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETLost
Down$30 @ 75.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETLost
Down$3 @ 48.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETLost
Up$8 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETLost
Up$19 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETLost
Down$8 @ 59.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETLost
Up$1 @ 26.2¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Won
Yes$137 @ 49.4¢
Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?Won
No$49 @ 32.0¢
0x012bd38c…Won
Yes$59 @ 63.3¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Diesel" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?Won
No$0 @ 40.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Won
No$29 @ 60.1¢
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan SchoolkateLost
Tristan Schoolkate$505 @ 58.7¢
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Arizona Wildcats$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?Won
No$79 @ 48.5¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?Lost
No$39 @ 16.0¢
Seahawks vs. FalconsWon
Seahawks$45 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?Won
No$36 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Won
No$63 @ 83.6¢
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" 6+ times during statement on April 9?Won
No$6 @ 56.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Won
Over$25 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Miner" 3+ times during coal announcement?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump say "Jensen" during Bret Baier interview?Won
No$177 @ 79.9¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$65 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump say "Drone" during WHCA Dinner events?Lost
Yes$0 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Lost
No$65 @ 21.7¢
Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?Won
No$107 @ 42.7¢
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?Lost
No$55 @ 33.2¢
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 13.7¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsLost
Cavaliers$188 @ 62.0¢
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-11?Lost
No$30 @ 56.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	—	No	$419	20.2¢
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	—	No	$160	40.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?	—	No	$144	26.7¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Politics	Yes	$114	28.8¢
Will Marco Rubio say "China" or "Xi" during press briefing today?	—	No	$113	34.4¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$111	46.0¢
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?	—	Yes	$110	55.0¢
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	—	No	$94	34.7¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during events in Rockland County?	—	No	$90	48.1¢
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$71	7.3¢
Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?	—	No	$65	21.7¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?	—	No	$62	33.8¢
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$59	29.2¢
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?	—	No	$59	59.0¢
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$59	29.5¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$54	22.4¢
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?	—	No	$53	33.2¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	—	Yes	$51	1.9¢
Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?	—	No	$47	11.5¢
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events in Rockland County?	—	No	$47	33.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Politics	No	$43	43.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)	—	No	$41	35.4¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Politics	Yes	$41	36.9¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?	—	No	$38	16.0¢
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?	—	Yes	$37	17.7¢
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?	—	No	$37	50.5¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	—	Yes	$36	0.3¢
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?	Sports	No	$35	35.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	—	Down	$30	75.0¢
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$30	0.6¢

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?—
No$419 @ 20.2¢
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?—
No$160 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump" 7+ times during Healthcare Affordability Events?—
No$144 @ 26.7¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?Politics
Yes$114 @ 28.8¢
Will Marco Rubio say "China" or "Xi" during press briefing today?—
No$113 @ 34.4¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$111 @ 46.0¢
Will the announcers say "Back of the net" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?—
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?—
No$94 @ 34.7¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Pool" during events in Rockland County?—
No$90 @ 48.1¢
Will 7+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
No$71 @ 7.3¢
Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?—
No$65 @ 21.7¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" during events in Rockland County?—
No$62 @ 33.8¢
Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Bosnia & Herzegovina FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$59 @ 29.2¢
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?—
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$59 @ 29.5¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$54 @ 22.4¢
Will Trump or Melania say "Greatest military" or "Strongest military" at the Military Mothers event?—
No$53 @ 33.2¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?—
Yes$51 @ 1.9¢
Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?—
No$47 @ 11.5¢
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events in Rockland County?—
No$47 @ 33.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?Politics
No$43 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)—
No$41 @ 35.4¢
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Politics
Yes$41 @ 36.9¢
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during coal announcement?—
No$38 @ 16.0¢
Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?—
Yes$37 @ 17.7¢
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?—
No$37 @ 50.5¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?—
Yes$36 @ 0.3¢
Will the announcers say "Champion" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?Sports
No$35 @ 35.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET—
Down$30 @ 75.0¢
Will 6+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
No$30 @ 0.6¢