0xe2b4…3c5a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe2b44168f9c361a06a64ed3fe0e858634e883c5a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.3pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

34% @ 28.6¢

Brier

0.118

Resolved

363

Avg size

$33

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	10% (5/52)	+39%	52
Other	23% (10/43)	+60%	43
Tech	29% (5/17)	+8%	17
Politics	33% (5/15)	+19%	15
Crypto	40% (4/10)	+10%	10
Business	25% (1/4)	-10%	4
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	+17%	3
Economy	33% (1/3)	+9%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports52 bets
Hit rate
10% (5/52)
ROI
+39%
Other43 bets
Hit rate
23% (10/43)
ROI
+60%
Tech17 bets
Hit rate
29% (5/17)
ROI
+8%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+19%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+10%
Business4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+17%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+9%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

22% hit · 32/148

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$367	8.6¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$3	1.4¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$31	2.3¢	Lost
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	$35	81.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	$30	2.9¢	Lost
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	Yes	$8	4.0¢	Lost
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	$0	4.3¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	$8	53.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$7	1.9¢	Lost
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	No	$37	13.0¢	Lost
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	$25	88.7¢	Won
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Ecuador?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	$9	0.7¢	Lost
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	$98	82.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$349	68.3¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$64	3.1¢	Lost
Will Hylo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$214	39.0¢	Lost
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	No	$91	88.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	$223	84.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	$22	7.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$185	88.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?	Yes	$28	3.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?	Yes	$2	4.2¢	Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will Kobbie Mainoo win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	$8	74.0¢	Won
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$14	1.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?	No	$9	51.0¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	$2	2.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	$44	59.7¢	Lost
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$14	6.0¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$970	75.9¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	No	$12	6.0¢	Won
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.2k	58.5¢	Won
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost

Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$367 @ 8.6¢
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$31 @ 2.3¢
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsLost
Miami Marlins$1 @ 0.5¢
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Won
Yes$35 @ 81.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Lost
Yes$30 @ 2.9¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.3¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
No$8 @ 53.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.9¢
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Lost
No$37 @ 13.0¢
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
No$25 @ 88.7¢
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.5¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Ecuador?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Ecuador?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.7¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
Dplus KIA$98 @ 82.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$349 @ 68.3¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$64 @ 3.1¢
Will Hylo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$214 @ 39.0¢
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Won
No$91 @ 88.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Won
No$223 @ 84.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Lost
Yes$22 @ 7.0¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$185 @ 88.0¢
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?Lost
Yes$28 @ 3.4¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.2¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Kobbie Mainoo win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Won
No$8 @ 74.0¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$14 @ 1.4¢
Exact Score: Qatar 3 - 2 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?Lost
No$9 @ 51.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Lost
No$2 @ 2.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Lost
No$44 @ 59.7¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Won
Yes$14 @ 6.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
Yes$970 @ 75.9¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Won
No$12 @ 6.0¢
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 58.5¢
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$1.2k	86.2¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?	—	No	$953	84.0¢
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$907	88.0¢
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?	—	No	$897	85.0¢
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$831	53.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$649	67.3¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	No	$351	43.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$345	8.6¢
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$224	56.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	Tech	No	$222	89.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Tech	No	$222	98.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$216	61.7¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?	Tech	No	$208	95.5¢
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Crypto	No	$203	40.0¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$202	69.0¢
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$185	72.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?	Other	No	$181	84.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Tech	No	$177	94.7¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$147	50.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Tech	No	$145	96.8¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$138	14.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tech	Yes	$125	14.8¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$122	85.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	Tech	No	$117	97.5¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	No	$115	11.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Tech	No	$112	87.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$110	12.0¢
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$108	68.0¢
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$106	54.4¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$105	32.0¢

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$1.2k @ 86.2¢
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?—
No$953 @ 84.0¢
Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$907 @ 88.0¢
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?—
No$897 @ 85.0¢
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto
No$831 @ 53.0¢
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$649 @ 67.3¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
No$351 @ 43.4¢
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto
Yes$345 @ 8.6¢
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
No$224 @ 56.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Tech
No$222 @ 89.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Tech
No$222 @ 98.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$216 @ 61.7¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?Tech
No$208 @ 95.5¢
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto
No$203 @ 40.0¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score—
No$202 @ 69.0¢
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$185 @ 72.4¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Other
No$181 @ 84.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?Tech
No$177 @ 94.7¢
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$147 @ 50.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Tech
No$145 @ 96.8¢
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$138 @ 14.1¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech
Yes$125 @ 14.8¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech
Yes$122 @ 85.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Tech
No$117 @ 97.5¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
No$115 @ 11.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Tech
No$112 @ 87.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
Yes$110 @ 12.0¢
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
No$108 @ 68.0¢
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$106 @ 54.4¢
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$105 @ 32.0¢