← Smart money
0xe298…9ef4
ProfitableEdge
+21.2pp
ROI
+156%
Win rate
38% @ 16.9¢
Brier
0.285
Resolved
84
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 21% (3/14) | -57% | 14 |
| Economy | 42% (5/12) | +284% | 12 |
| Politics | 22% (2/9) | +50% | 9 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | -6% | 2 |
- Other14 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (3/14)
- ROI
- -57%
- Economy12 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (5/12)
- ROI
- +284%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- +50%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -6%
Track record
30% hit · 11/37- Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$15 @ 76.0¢
- No$14 @ 6.8¢
- No$15 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$11 @ 27.5¢
- No$4 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
- No$20 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
- No$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Economy | Yes | $27 | 8.9¢ |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | Economy | Yes | $26 | 7.0¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Tech | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 6.0¢ |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ |
- Yes$27 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$26 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.0¢