0xe28a…8072

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe28a424012a3d00c9d236d9b5ff00ef989518072
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.7pp

ROI

+32%

Win rate

65% @ 58.8¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

679

Avg size

$182

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (105/186)	+33%	186
Politics	33% (1/3)	-62%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+54%	1

Other186 bets
Hit rate
56% (105/186)
ROI
+33%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-62%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+54%

Track record

56% hit · 107/190

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?	Yes	$246	82.0¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$171	3.9¢	Lost
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?	No	$2.7k	88.2¢	Won
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?	Yes	$10	14.8¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$300	74.0¢	Won
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)	Saint Denis	$612	78.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$49	63.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$913	70.5¢	Won
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow?	No	$247	71.5¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$416	52.0¢	Lost
Will RFK drop out before November?	Yes	$547	78.1¢	Won
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Weili	$100	45.0¢	Lost
Will Hagos Gebrhiwet (ETH) win Gold in 5000m?	Yes	$19	19.0¢	Lost
Prochazka vs. Hill	Hill	$825	55.0¢	Lost
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$205	82.0¢	Won
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?	Yes	$440	88.0¢	Won
Biden drops out by July 19?	No	$682	85.2¢	Won
Will Biden say "Drop out" during July 11 press conference?	Yes	$113	54.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?	No	$120	59.9¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?	No	$500	61.5¢	Won
Iran military response by Monday?	No	$1.2k	58.8¢	Won
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?	Yes	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?	Yes	$50	63.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	Yes	$72	72.0¢	Lost
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov	Dvalishvili	$176	29.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?	Yes	$100	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	No	$354	79.0¢	Won
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?	No	$748	65.0¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$4.8k	71.3¢	Lost
$ETH dips below $2,000 by Friday?	No	$137	85.6¢	Won
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$93	2.7¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	No	$105	89.5¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?	Yes	$118	17.1¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	Yes	$290	58.0¢	Won
Iran military response by Sunday?	No	$1.0k	84.8¢	Won
Iran military response by Sunday?	Yes	$186	23.7¢	Lost
Will 50 Cent attend the RNC?	Yes	$146	12.2¢	Lost
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?	Yes	$124	62.0¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$226	48.0¢	Won
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?	Yes	$74	81.0¢	Won
Will Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?	No	$140	70.0¢	Lost
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$690	79.7¢	Won
Trump sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	$320	80.0¢	Won
Will Biden say "Israel" during the debate?	Yes	$50	87.0¢	Won
Iran strike on US military in August?	No	$326	87.0¢	Won
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?	Yes	$499	89.3¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?	No	$1.7k	85.1¢	Won
Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?	No	$154	77.0¢	Won
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?	No	$876	79.6¢	Won

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?Won
Yes$246 @ 82.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$171 @ 3.9¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Won
No$2.7k @ 88.2¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.8¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$300 @ 74.0¢
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Saint Denis$612 @ 78.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$49 @ 63.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
No$913 @ 70.5¢
Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow? Lost
No$247 @ 71.5¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$416 @ 52.0¢
Will RFK drop out before November?Won
Yes$547 @ 78.1¢
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Weili$100 @ 45.0¢
Will Hagos Gebrhiwet (ETH) win Gold in 5000m?Lost
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
Prochazka vs. HillLost
Hill$825 @ 55.0¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
No$205 @ 82.0¢
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Won
Yes$440 @ 88.0¢
Biden drops out by July 19?Won
No$682 @ 85.2¢
Will Biden say "Drop out" during July 11 press conference?Lost
Yes$113 @ 54.0¢
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Lost
No$120 @ 59.9¢
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?Won
No$500 @ 61.5¢
Iran military response by Monday?Won
No$1.2k @ 58.8¢
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Won
Yes$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Biden say "Convicted Felon" during the debate?Won
Yes$50 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Lost
Yes$72 @ 72.0¢
Dvalishvili vs. NurmagomedovWon
Dvalishvili$176 @ 29.3¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?Lost
Yes$100 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Won
No$354 @ 79.0¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Won
No$748 @ 65.0¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 71.3¢
$ETH dips below $2,000 by Friday?Won
No$137 @ 85.6¢
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$93 @ 2.7¢
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Won
No$105 @ 89.5¢
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Lost
Yes$118 @ 17.1¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Won
Yes$290 @ 58.0¢
Iran military response by Sunday?Won
No$1.0k @ 84.8¢
Iran military response by Sunday?Lost
Yes$186 @ 23.7¢
Will 50 Cent attend the RNC?Lost
Yes$146 @ 12.2¢
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?Lost
Yes$124 @ 62.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$226 @ 48.0¢
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?Won
Yes$74 @ 81.0¢
Will Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?Lost
No$140 @ 70.0¢
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Won
Yes$690 @ 79.7¢
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Won
Yes$320 @ 80.0¢
Will Biden say "Israel" during the debate?Won
Yes$50 @ 87.0¢
Iran strike on US military in August?Won
No$326 @ 87.0¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?Won
Yes$499 @ 89.3¢
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?Won
No$1.7k @ 85.1¢
Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?Won
No$154 @ 77.0¢
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Won
No$876 @ 79.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.9k	85.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$987	51.4¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$517	73.7¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	Yes	$310	26.8¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$294	66.4¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$169	95.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$99	81.0¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$1.9k @ 85.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$987 @ 51.4¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$517 @ 73.7¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
Yes$310 @ 26.8¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
Yes$294 @ 66.4¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$169 @ 95.0¢
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$99 @ 81.0¢