0xe277…8e46

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe27757cc1dff108d82cb2ce371a40ef7a52b8e46
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.3pp

ROI

+116%

Win rate

39% @ 29.3¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

791

Avg size

$35

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (124/356)	+121%	356
Politics	12% (2/17)	-84%	17
Geopolitics	38% (3/8)	-13%	8
Sports	33% (2/6)	+43%	6

Other356 bets
Hit rate
35% (124/356)
ROI
+121%
Politics17 bets
Hit rate
12% (2/17)
ROI
-84%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
-13%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+43%

Track record

34% hit · 131/387

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	$5	83.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	Yes	$30	31.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	$10	4.3¢	Lost
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Under	$20	41.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	$5	87.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	$1	36.7¢	Lost
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	$2	8.8¢	Lost
Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?	No	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	$100	48.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	$336	84.0¢	Won
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$10	7.0¢	Lost
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$4	79.0¢	Won
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	$18	87.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?	Yes	$9	15.0¢	Lost
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?	Yes	$5	5.2¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?	Yes	$121	64.4¢	Won
Israel military action against Iran in April?	Yes	$119	9.0¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?	Yes	$138	69.0¢	Won
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	No	$20	28.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?	Yes	$58	58.0¢	Lost
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?	Yes	$161	68.8¢	Won
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)	Real Madrid	$20	42.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Won
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	$5	9.8¢	Lost
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$16	23.8¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$18	3.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?	Yes	$20	56.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?	Yes	$10	10.1¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	Yes	$70	29.2¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$7	49.0¢	Won
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$85	44.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?	Yes	$115	55.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4700 August 18–24?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?	Yes	$120	40.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$6	7.8¢	Lost
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?	Yes	$62	16.9¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 1?	Yes	$10	2.9¢	Lost
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	No	$140	28.0¢	Lost
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$24	32.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$5	35.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$700	20.4¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?	Yes	$100	89.5¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?	Yes	$10	62.9¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETLost
Up$5 @ 83.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Lost
Yes$30 @ 31.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$20 @ 41.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETLost
Down$5 @ 87.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 36.7¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-06?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.8¢
Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETLost
Down$1 @ 21.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?Lost
No$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?Won
Yes$100 @ 48.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Won
Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Lost
No$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?Won
Yes$18 @ 87.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 15.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?Won
Yes$121 @ 64.4¢
Israel military action against Iran in April?Lost
Yes$119 @ 9.0¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Won
Yes$138 @ 69.0¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Lost
No$20 @ 28.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?Lost
Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Won
Yes$161 @ 68.8¢
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)Lost
Real Madrid$20 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on August 22?Won
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.8¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$16 @ 23.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 3.5¢
Bitcoin above $112K on August 27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 56.0¢
Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.1¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
Yes$70 @ 29.2¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 49.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Won
Yes$85 @ 44.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?Won
Yes$115 @ 55.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4700 August 18–24?Won
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?Lost
Yes$120 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$6 @ 7.8¢
Israel strike on Damascus by August 31?Lost
Yes$62 @ 16.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.9¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?Lost
No$140 @ 28.0¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 32.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
No$5 @ 35.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$700 @ 20.4¢
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.5¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 62.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Geopolitics	Yes	$4.0k	93.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Geopolitics	Yes	$308	77.0¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?	—	No	$140	28.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$74	44.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$41	20.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?	Politics	Yes	$30	31.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	—	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$20	41.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	—	Yes	$16	23.8¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$14	19.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?	—	No	$12	59.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	—	Yes	$10	25.0¢
Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19?	Sports	Yes	$10	32.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Politics	Yes	$10	39.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Politics	Yes	$10	30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	—	Down	$10	24.0¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	18.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Politics	Yes	$10	13.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$10	7.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Politics	Yes	$10	4.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$8	8.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	6.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	19.0¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	—	Down	$5	87.7¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$5	16.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Politics	Yes	$5	0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	—	Up	$5	83.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$5	1.9¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Geopolitics
Yes$4.0k @ 93.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Geopolitics
Yes$308 @ 77.0¢
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?—
No$140 @ 28.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$74 @ 44.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?—
Yes$41 @ 20.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Politics
Yes$30 @ 31.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?—
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$20 @ 41.0¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?—
Yes$16 @ 23.8¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
Yes$14 @ 19.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?—
No$12 @ 59.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?—
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19?Sports
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Politics
Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET—
Down$10 @ 24.0¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Politics
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$10 @ 7.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Politics
Yes$10 @ 4.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 6.0¢
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 19.0¢
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?Politics
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET—
Down$5 @ 87.7¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET—
Up$5 @ 83.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Geopolitics
Yes$5 @ 1.9¢