← Smart money
0xe24f…bae5
ProfitableEdge
+32.7pp
ROI
+43%
Win rate
52% @ 19.2¢
Brier
0.416
Resolved
357
Avg size
$207
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 37% (7/19) | -43% | 19 |
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +210% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +250% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +33% | 1 |
- Other19 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (7/19)
- ROI
- -43%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +210%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +250%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
42% hit · 11/26- Yes$4.9k @ 23.1¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 44.4¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 73.5¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 36.7¢
- No$4.1k @ 15.8¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 34.9¢
- No$100 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 20.2¢
- Yes$103 @ 0.1¢
- No$4.6k @ 18.0¢
- Yes$290 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 27.0¢
- Kia Tigers$100 @ 54.1¢
- No$220 @ 60.2¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 39.5¢
- No$9.5k @ 68.0¢
- No$795 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
- Doosan Bears$6 @ 39.0¢
- No$975 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 10.1¢
- Yes$642 @ 6.6¢
- No$18.1k @ 9.3¢
- Yes$996 @ 51.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.2¢
- Kiwoom Heroes$10 @ 26.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | — | Yes | $254 | 36.0¢ |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | — | Yes | $100 | 31.0¢ |
- Yes$254 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 31.0¢