0xe221…1505

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe221d23b7ee9bf426a3862b0a1c8608750e41505
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.4pp

ROI

+59%

Win rate

62% @ 47.4¢

Brier

0.131

Resolved

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (14/22)	+59%	22
Politics	100% (2/2)	+13%	2

Other22 bets
Hit rate
64% (14/22)
ROI
+59%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+13%

Track record

67% hit · 16/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Trump x Xi talk by Friday?	No	$20	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?	No	$20	80.0¢	Lost
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$33	70.9¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$18	89.0¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	$5	85.0¢	Won
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?	Yes	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 3?	No	$8	89.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?	No	$168	42.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	$3	50.0¢	Won
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?	Yes	$20	80.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?	Yes	$43	48.0¢	Won
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?	No	$30	83.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 3?	Yes	$2	26.8¢	Lost
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$6	56.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$10	44.9¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	$18	88.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.4k	57.1¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$120	85.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?	No	$55	88.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?	No	$70	90.0¢	Won
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$48	1.2¢	Lost

Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Won
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?Lost
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Lost
Yes$33 @ 70.9¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Won
No$18 @ 89.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Won
Yes$5 @ 85.0¢
Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 3?Won
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?Won
No$168 @ 42.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 3?Won
Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?Won
Yes$20 @ 80.0¢
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?Won
Yes$43 @ 48.0¢
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Won
No$30 @ 83.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 3?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.8¢
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?Won
Yes$6 @ 56.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 44.9¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Won
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 57.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
No$120 @ 85.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?Won
No$55 @ 88.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?Won
No$70 @ 90.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$48 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$384	96.1¢
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$96	96.4¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	Politics	No	$45	90.5¢
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?	Politics	No	$30	91.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Politics	No	$29	97.4¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Politics	No	$14	68.0¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$384 @ 96.1¢
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$96 @ 96.4¢
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
No$45 @ 90.5¢
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 91.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics
No$29 @ 97.4¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Politics
No$14 @ 68.0¢