0xe20e…85d7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe20e961ce01425b2c980953eae52b8ede6a485d7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.1pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

58% @ 47.6¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

156

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	60% (38/63)	+12%	63
Other	38% (23/60)	-35%	60
Politics	47% (9/19)	-9%	19
Culture	67% (2/3)	+51%	3
Tech	50% (1/2)	-33%	2
Science	100% (2/2)	+129%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports63 bets
Hit rate
60% (38/63)
ROI
+12%
Other60 bets
Hit rate
38% (23/60)
ROI
-35%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
ROI
-9%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+51%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-33%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+129%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 75/150

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$8	23.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?	Yes	$7	34.0¢	Lost
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	$6	62.0¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	Over	$11	27.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	Over	$16	79.0¢	Lost
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$6	44.0¢	Lost
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$14	43.0¢	Lost
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score	No	$37	57.9¢	Lost
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5	Under	$15	41.0¢	Lost
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Australia	$32	42.0¢	Lost
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)	Türkiye	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	No	$15	54.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5	Over	$8	82.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5	Over	$7	52.0¢	Lost
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	$26	55.0¢	Lost
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5	Over	$20	31.0¢	Lost
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5	Under	$8	62.0¢	Lost
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5	Under	$6	43.0¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5	Over	$17	62.0¢	Lost
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5	Over	$8	53.0¢	Lost
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)	Netherlands	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score	No	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	Yes	$2	10.3¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	80.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$6	64.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	46.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7	67.5¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5	Under	$12	40.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	21.7¢	Lost
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$6	61.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 5?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	$6	42.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$1	69.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$7	65.0¢	Won
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	Over	$33	73.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$7	67.0¢	Won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	46.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$10	44.0¢	Lost
Spread: United States (-1.5)	United States	$1	35.0¢	Won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	Ecuador	$4	44.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5	Under	$23	66.0¢	Lost

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 23.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Lost
Yes$7 @ 34.0¢
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Lost
Fenerbahçe SK$6 @ 62.0¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$11 @ 27.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$16 @ 79.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Lost
Argentina$6 @ 44.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$14 @ 43.0¢
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$37 @ 57.9¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Lost
Under$15 @ 41.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLost
Australia$32 @ 42.0¢
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Lost
Türkiye$1 @ 10.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$15 @ 54.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$8 @ 82.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Lost
Over$7 @ 52.0¢
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$26 @ 55.0¢
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$20 @ 31.0¢
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$8 @ 62.0¢
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$6 @ 43.0¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Lost
Over$17 @ 62.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Lost
Over$8 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Lost
Netherlands$10 @ 32.0¢
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$5 @ 49.0¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$2 @ 10.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$7 @ 67.5¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Lost
Under$12 @ 40.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 21.7¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Lost
Germany$6 @ 42.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
Seahawks$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$7 @ 65.0¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$33 @ 73.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 67.0¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$3 @ 46.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$10 @ 44.0¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Won
United States$1 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Lost
Ecuador$4 @ 44.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Lost
Under$23 @ 66.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$59	38.0¢
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$37	57.9¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$33	73.0¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$32	63.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	—	Australia	$32	42.0¢
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$26	55.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5	—	Under	$23	66.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$20	31.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$20	44.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	21.7¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5	—	Over	$17	62.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Tech	No	$17	57.3¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5	—	Over	$16	79.0¢
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$16	56.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5	—	Under	$15	41.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	—	No	$15	54.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$15	44.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5	—	Under	$14	43.0¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5	—	Under	$12	40.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$11	27.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$10	44.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	45.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	—	Yes	$10	50.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	33.4¢
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)	Sports	Côte dIvoire	$10	44.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)	Sports	Netherlands	$10	32.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5	—	Over	$9	35.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Sports	Yes	$9	87.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$9	77.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$8	41.0¢

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$59 @ 38.0¢
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score—
No$37 @ 57.9¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5—
Over$33 @ 73.0¢
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score—
No$32 @ 63.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance—
Australia$32 @ 42.0¢
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score—
No$26 @ 55.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5—
Under$23 @ 66.0¢
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5—
Over$20 @ 31.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$20 @ 44.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 21.7¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5—
Over$17 @ 62.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Tech
No$17 @ 57.3¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5—
Over$16 @ 79.0¢
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5—
Under$16 @ 56.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5—
Under$15 @ 41.0¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score—
No$15 @ 54.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$15 @ 44.0¢
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5—
Under$14 @ 43.0¢
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5—
Under$12 @ 40.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5—
Over$11 @ 27.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$10 @ 44.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 45.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?—
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 33.4¢
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Sports
Côte dIvoire$10 @ 44.0¢
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)Sports
Netherlands$10 @ 32.0¢
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5—
Over$9 @ 35.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Sports
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$9 @ 77.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$8 @ 41.0¢