0xe1e7…12fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe1e75b51779e5f65ac4c5375c846e256082d12fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.5pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

72% @ 63.0¢

Brier

0.121

Resolved

918

Avg size

$146

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (88/150)	+13%	150
Politics	80% (12/15)	+74%	15
Tech	33% (1/3)	-80%	3
Business	100% (3/3)	+41%	3
Economy	50% (1/2)	+99%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other150 bets
Hit rate
59% (88/150)
ROI
+13%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
80% (12/15)
ROI
+74%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-80%
Business3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+41%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+99%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

60% hit · 105/174

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$11	17.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	No	$11	1.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	Yes	$54	4.6¢	Lost
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$93	74.0¢	Won
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$115	17.5¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$179	81.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$17	20.0¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	No	$253	84.3¢	Won
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$8	83.0¢	Won
Lions vs. Eagles	Eagles	$3.3k	67.9¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$135	9.0¢	Lost
Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	$389	53.7¢	Lost
Kash Patel out by March 31?	No	$9	89.0¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$8	83.0¢	Won
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	$287	62.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$19	57.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	No	$1.4k	77.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)	No	$18	87.7¢	Won
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$171	82.8¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$166	28.5¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$1.5k	78.8¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	No	$80	4.0¢	Lost
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?	No	$1.1k	87.7¢	Won
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$24	88.7¢	Lost
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?	No	$120	18.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$782	77.2¢	Won
Grizzlies vs. Celtics	Celtics	$207	69.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	No	$1.9k	85.2¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$147	69.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	Yes	$64	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$230	0.6¢	Lost
Broncos vs. Commanders	Broncos	$43	72.0¢	Won
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$6	27.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$1.9k	70.6¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$75	32.0¢	Won
Bears vs. Eagles	Eagles	$735	70.4¢	Lost
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	No	$144	72.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$7.7k	61.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$5.0k	85.9¢	Won
Magic vs. Rockets	Magic	$790	79.0¢	Lost
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$223	66.9¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$189	85.0¢	Won
Jets vs. Patriots	Patriots	$2.5k	85.0¢	Won
Iran strike on US military by February 28?	No	$192	65.7¢	Lost
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	No	$6	4.3¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?	Yes	$597	89.6¢	Won
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?	Yes	$34	67.5¢	Lost

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 17.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?Lost
No$11 @ 1.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?Lost
Yes$54 @ 4.6¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Won
Yes$93 @ 74.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
Yes$115 @ 17.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$179 @ 81.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Lost
Yes$17 @ 20.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Won
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
No$253 @ 84.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Lions vs. EaglesWon
Eagles$3.3k @ 67.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$135 @ 9.0¢
Chiefs vs. BroncosLost
Chiefs$389 @ 53.7¢
Kash Patel out by March 31?Won
No$9 @ 89.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksWon
Seahawks$287 @ 62.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$19 @ 57.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?Won
No$1.4k @ 77.1¢
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)Won
No$18 @ 87.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
No$171 @ 82.8¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$166 @ 28.5¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$1.5k @ 78.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Lost
No$80 @ 4.0¢
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Won
No$1.1k @ 87.7¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$24 @ 88.7¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?Lost
No$120 @ 18.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$782 @ 77.2¢
Grizzlies vs. CelticsWon
Celtics$207 @ 69.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Won
No$1.9k @ 85.2¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
No$147 @ 69.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$64 @ 30.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$230 @ 0.6¢
Broncos vs. CommandersWon
Broncos$43 @ 72.0¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$1.9k @ 70.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$75 @ 32.0¢
Bears vs. EaglesLost
Eagles$735 @ 70.4¢
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Lost
No$144 @ 72.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$7.7k @ 61.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
No$5.0k @ 85.9¢
Magic vs. RocketsLost
Magic$790 @ 79.0¢
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$223 @ 66.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$189 @ 85.0¢
Jets vs. PatriotsWon
Patriots$2.5k @ 85.0¢
Iran strike on US military by February 28?Lost
No$192 @ 65.7¢
Will José Ramírez win the 2025 AL MVP?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Lost
No$6 @ 4.3¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?Won
Yes$597 @ 89.6¢
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?Lost
Yes$34 @ 67.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$384	0.6¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$265	0.6¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$205	1.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$201	0.5¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$132	0.6¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$104	0.6¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$98	0.6¢

Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$384 @ 0.6¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$265 @ 0.6¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$205 @ 1.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$201 @ 0.5¢
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$132 @ 0.6¢
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$104 @ 0.6¢
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$98 @ 0.6¢