← Smart money
0xe1e5…35a4
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
50% @ 42.3¢
Brier
0.158
Resolved
315
Avg size
$1
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 52% (16/31) | +26% | 31 |
| Politics | 52% (11/21) | -14% | 21 |
| Crypto | 43% (3/7) | +34% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -13% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other31 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (16/31)
- ROI
- +26%
- Politics21 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (11/21)
- ROI
- -14%
- Crypto7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- +34%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -13%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 32/63- No$1 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 20.0¢
- No$1 @ 60.0¢
- No$2 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 21.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.4¢
- No$3 @ 76.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$2 @ 83.1¢
- No$1 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.2¢
- No$22 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$19 @ 19.7¢
- No$6 @ 71.2¢
- No$3 @ 47.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 73.6¢
- No$2 @ 82.9¢
- No$2 @ 71.1¢
- No$4 @ 89.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 34.6¢
- No$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 71.3¢
- No$8 @ 18.7¢
- No$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.8¢
- No$1 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 29.0¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 47.4¢
- No$2 @ 28.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
- No$10 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 40.8¢
- No$1 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.8¢
- No$1 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.5¢
- No$4 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- No$1 @ 44.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$17 @ 97.1¢
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsYes$11 @ 92.8¢
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7 @ 91.7¢
- No$6 @ 83.7¢
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4 @ 87.6¢
- No$2 @ 93.6¢
- No$2 @ 97.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 56.0¢
- No$2 @ 20.0¢
- No$1 @ 98.1¢
- No$1 @ 91.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 75.0¢
- No$1 @ 98.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
- No$1 @ 97.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 91.9¢
- No$1 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.8¢