← Smart money
0xe01b…fa88
SharpEdge
+10.0pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
63% @ 53.4¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
208
Avg size
$25
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 64% (77/120) | +28% | 120 |
| Other | 61% (47/77) | +0% | 77 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +52% | 3 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | -52% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +68% | 2 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports120 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (77/120)
- ROI
- +28%
- Other77 bets
- Hit rate
- 61% (47/77)
- ROI
- +0%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +52%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -52%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +68%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
63% hit · 129/205- Yes$15 @ 49.0¢
- No$30 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
- No$20 @ 75.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
- Michaela Bayerlova$31 @ 36.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$31 @ 53.0¢
- No$25 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 28.9¢
- No$25 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
- No$28 @ 75.8¢
- Over$10 @ 1.9¢
- No$15 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 19.2¢
- No$40 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 59.0¢
- No$25 @ 77.9¢
- Daniil Medvedev$35 @ 78.0¢
- Atlanta Braves$31 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 65.0¢
- Cincinnati Reds$36 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 60.2¢
- Yes$29 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 75.0¢
- No$51 @ 59.6¢
- Yes$41 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $30 | 59.4¢ |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Politics | No | $30 | 55.0¢ |
- Yes$30 @ 59.4¢
- No$30 @ 55.0¢