← Smart money
0xdef6…f69a
SharpEdge
+3.4pp
ROI
+11%
Win rate
21% @ 17.5¢
Brier
0.018
Resolved
398
Avg size
$182
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 57% (4/7) | +28% | 7 |
| Other | 40% (2/5) | -54% | 5 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +121% | 1 |
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- +28%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -54%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +121%
Track record
54% hit · 7/13- Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 35.8¢
- No$3.8k @ 45.3¢
- Yes$450 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 0.1¢
- No$264 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$6.6k @ 35.0¢
- No$630 @ 90.0¢
- No$7.1k @ 87.3¢
- No$46.3k @ 73.1¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 4.7¢
- No$31 @ 75.0¢
- No$48 @ 84.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$71.0k @ 91.8¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$31.1k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$15.6k @ 62.2¢
- Plague pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$12.5k @ 95.8¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 77.7¢
- No$5.6k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 46.6¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 73.9¢
- No$3.0k @ 93.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 77.5¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 64.0¢
- Yes$698 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$630 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$386 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 90.0¢
- No$348 @ 87.0¢
- No$207 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$200 @ 78.8¢
- No$174 @ 87.0¢
- No$130 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$76 @ 24.5¢
- No$59 @ 9.3¢
- Georgia$19 @ 63.0¢
- No$5 @ 96.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 90.0¢