← Smart money
0xdec2…b015
SharpEdge
+5.6pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
32% @ 26.2¢
Brier
0.127
Resolved
3079
Avg size
$21
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (217/563) | +11% | 563 |
| Politics | 53% (123/231) | +23% | 231 |
| Sports | 32% (17/53) | +27% | 53 |
| Culture | 44% (11/25) | -22% | 25 |
| Geopolitics | 29% (4/14) | -74% | 14 |
| Tech | 17% (2/12) | -77% | 12 |
| Crypto | 40% (2/5) | +109% | 5 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +733% | 1 |
- Other563 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (217/563)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics231 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (123/231)
- ROI
- +23%
- Sports53 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (17/53)
- ROI
- +27%
- Culture25 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (11/25)
- ROI
- -22%
- Geopolitics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- -74%
- Tech12 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (2/12)
- ROI
- -77%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +109%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +733%
Track record
42% hit · 377/904- Yes$82 @ 85.8¢
- No$71 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- 76ers$12 @ 22.6¢
- No$2 @ 0.7¢
- No$40 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 37.0¢
- Thunder$7 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- No$18 @ 84.3¢
- Yes$248 @ 3.1¢
- No$143 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$432 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$218 @ 47.9¢
- No$0 @ 0.1¢
- New York Mets$13 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$508 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- Trail Blazers$52 @ 27.4¢
- No$6 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$113 @ 75.5¢
- No$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Nuggets$14 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
- Grizzlies$52 @ 20.4¢
- Yes$31 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$160 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- No$45 @ 18.0¢
- Hornets$15 @ 58.0¢
- Magic$4 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 54.0¢
- No$14 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$9 @ 87.9¢
- 76ers$243 @ 43.6¢
- No$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$326 @ 86.5¢
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$12 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$72 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$788 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$14 @ 71.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
- Djokovic$20 @ 10.0¢
- Pacers$20 @ 20.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.7k @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 10.6¢
- Yes$544 @ 54.4¢
- Yes$486 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$417 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$410 @ 27.3¢
- No$376 @ 66.2¢
- No$337 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$269 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$255 @ 17.0¢
- No$243 @ 64.2¢
- Yes$224 @ 89.7¢
- No$212 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$204 @ 89.0¢
- No$199 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$193 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$189 @ 40.2¢
- No$184 @ 90.6¢
- No$182 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$171 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$147 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 5.5¢
- No$114 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 83.0¢
- No$88 @ 29.1¢
- Yes$84 @ 69.8¢
- Yes$82 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$74 @ 78.0¢