0xdec2…b015

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdec2a6879cf654e6bc2c0e125f65b2fa3e27b015
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

26% @ 20.7¢

Brier

0.110

Resolved

2279

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (187/497)	+12%	497
Politics	50% (38/76)	+35%	76
Sports	19% (6/32)	+19%	32
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-93%	5
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+206%	3
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other497 bets
Hit rate
38% (187/497)
ROI
+12%
Politics76 bets
Hit rate
50% (38/76)
ROI
+35%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
19% (6/32)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-93%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+206%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

38% hit · 234/618

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	$12	22.6¢	Won
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?	No	$40	17.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$27	37.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Jazz	Thunder	$7	82.0¢	Won
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	No	$18	84.3¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$248	3.1¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	Yes	$432	66.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?	Yes	$218	47.9¢	Won
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	New York Mets	$13	42.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Won
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?	Yes	$508	59.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics	Trail Blazers	$52	27.4¢	Lost
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?	No	$6	30.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$113	75.5¢	Won
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Hornets	Nuggets	$14	81.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$56	28.0¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Rockets	Grizzlies	$52	20.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$160	19.0¢	Lost
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?	No	$45	18.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$15	58.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Magic	Magic	$4	39.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$50	54.0¢	Won
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$14	4.6¢	Lost
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?	Yes	$9	87.9¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?	No	$5	84.0¢	Won
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	$12	23.0¢	Lost
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?	Yes	$30	23.8¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Djokovic	$20	10.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Celtics	Pacers	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. 76ers	Kings	$19	19.0¢	Lost
Will Singapore vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?	Yes	$20	85.0¢	Won
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris Basketball	Paris Basketball	$6	22.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Warriors	Raptors	$37	41.0¢	Won
Elon Phoenix vs. Charleston Cougars	Elon Phoenix	$10	17.8¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$1.2k	2.9¢	Lost
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?	No	$95	86.9¢	Won
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?	No	$10	6.1¢	Lost
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?	Yes	$53	5.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$87	32.4¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$57	7.8¢	Lost

76ers vs. HornetsWon
76ers$12 @ 22.6¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
No$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?Lost
No$40 @ 17.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Won
Yes$27 @ 37.0¢
Thunder vs. JazzWon
Thunder$7 @ 82.0¢
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-01-24?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Lost
No$18 @ 84.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$248 @ 3.1¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Won
Yes$432 @ 66.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?Won
Yes$218 @ 47.9¢
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
New York Mets vs. Chicago CubsLost
New York Mets$13 @ 42.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Won
Yes$508 @ 59.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Trail Blazers vs. CelticsLost
Trail Blazers$52 @ 27.4¢
Will Bryan Johnson say "Goth Girl" while tripping balls?Won
No$6 @ 30.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$113 @ 75.5¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-01-24?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Nuggets vs. HornetsWon
Nuggets$14 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$56 @ 28.0¢
Grizzlies vs. RocketsLost
Grizzlies$52 @ 20.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$160 @ 19.0¢
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Lost
No$45 @ 18.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$15 @ 58.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicWon
Magic$4 @ 39.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?Won
Yes$50 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$14 @ 4.6¢
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.9¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 84.0¢
Clemson Tigers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsLost
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets$12 @ 23.0¢
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?Lost
Yes$30 @ 23.8¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerWon
Djokovic$20 @ 10.0¢
Pacers vs. CelticsLost
Pacers$20 @ 20.0¢
Kings vs. 76ersLost
Kings$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Singapore vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?Won
Yes$20 @ 85.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Paris BasketballLost
Paris Basketball$6 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Won
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Raptors vs. WarriorsWon
Raptors$37 @ 41.0¢
Elon Phoenix vs. Charleston CougarsLost
Elon Phoenix$10 @ 17.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 2.9¢
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?Won
No$95 @ 86.9¢
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Lost
No$10 @ 6.1¢
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Lost
Yes$53 @ 5.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
Patriots$87 @ 32.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$57 @ 7.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	62.1¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	10.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$352	35.2¢
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Culture	Yes	$329	61.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Crypto	Yes	$270	22.6¢
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Politics	Yes	$164	43.5¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$118	19.7¢
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$110	5.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$100	10.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$78	78.0¢
Will "Digger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Culture	Yes	$13	44.0¢
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	37.6¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	16.0¢
Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Culture	No	$7	52.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Culture	Yes	$4	25.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 62.1¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 10.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$352 @ 35.2¢
Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
Yes$329 @ 61.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
Yes$270 @ 22.6¢
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Politics
Yes$164 @ 43.5¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics
Yes$118 @ 19.7¢
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Politics
Yes$110 @ 5.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$100 @ 10.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Politics
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will "Digger" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
Yes$13 @ 44.0¢
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 37.6¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will "Primetime" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture
No$7 @ 52.0¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture
Yes$4 @ 25.0¢