0xdebb…eedb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdebbe89ceb32828a99648bca497684f5209ceedb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.6pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

52% @ 40.3¢

Brier

0.197

Resolved

2400

Avg size

$154

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	54% (233/435)	+17%	435
Other	54% (142/262)	+18%	262
Geopolitics	56% (5/9)	-18%	9
Politics	60% (3/5)	-0%	5

Sports435 bets
Hit rate
54% (233/435)
ROI
+17%
Other262 bets
Hit rate
54% (142/262)
ROI
+18%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-18%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-0%

Track record

54% hit · 383/711

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	$34	17.0¢	Lost
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun	Connecticut Sun	$51	21.5¢	Lost
Levante UD vs. Albacete Balompie: O/U 4.5	Under	$1.8k	81.0¢	Won
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will Nico O'Reilly win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$57	3.1¢	Lost
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	$1.4k	82.1¢	Lost
Will Ørjan Nyland win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	6.4¢	Lost
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	$724	43.0¢	Lost
Will South Africa win in regulation?	No	$286	35.0¢	Lost
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ulrikke Eikeri	Mei Yamaguchi	$2.0k	86.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6.3k	10.0¢	Lost
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?	No	$70	57.0¢	Lost
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Lost
Will Alisson Becker win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$39	7.3¢	Lost
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)	1. FC Slovácko	$158	41.0¢	Lost
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	$262	32.2¢	Lost
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: Both Teams to Score	No	$124	63.0¢	Won
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-13?	No	$55	76.4¢	Won
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$1.7k	89.4¢	Won
Singapore Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Sofya Lansere	Sofya Lansere	$2.0k	33.7¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	No	$1.0k	43.0¢	Lost
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$2.0k	63.0¢	Won
Will Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra win the 2026 European Masters?	Yes	$39	8.2¢	Lost
Will Manta FC win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	$273	31.9¢	Lost
Korea Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sara Saito	Sara Saito	$900	30.4¢	Won
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$376	77.0¢	Lost
Will Learner Tien Win ATP Montreal	Yes	$11	13.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	$304	54.6¢	Won
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	$767	89.0¢	Won
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$83	21.8¢	Lost
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	$34	49.0¢	Won
Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-01?	No	$79	76.0¢	Won
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$1.1k	82.8¢	Won
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$398	42.3¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	$261	20.8¢	Won
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$159	48.0¢	Lost
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$36	8.4¢	Lost
Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	$389	44.0¢	Lost
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville?	No	$25	29.6¢	Lost
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville?	Yes	$105	52.4¢	Won
Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	$2.0k	44.0¢	Lost
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$42	52.0¢	Won
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$193	66.0¢	Won
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$1.7k	68.5¢	Won
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	$116	18.0¢	Lost
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-08-13?	Yes	$11	6.0¢	Lost
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals	No	$1.3k	71.0¢	Won

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Lost
Spurs$34 @ 17.0¢
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut SunLost
Connecticut Sun$51 @ 21.5¢
Levante UD vs. Albacete Balompie: O/U 4.5Won
Under$1.8k @ 81.0¢
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresWon
San Diego Padres$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Nico O'Reilly win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$57 @ 3.1¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
No$1.4k @ 82.1¢
Will Ørjan Nyland win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.4¢
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-13?Lost
Yes$724 @ 43.0¢
Will South Africa win in regulation?Lost
No$286 @ 35.0¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ulrikke EikeriWon
Mei Yamaguchi$2.0k @ 86.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6.3k @ 10.0¢
Will FC Flora win on 2026-07-23?Lost
No$70 @ 57.0¢
Will Thibaut Courtois win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Will Alisson Becker win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$39 @ 7.3¢
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)Lost
1. FC Slovácko$158 @ 41.0¢
Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-08-21?Lost
Yes$262 @ 32.2¢
FK Partizan Beograd vs. FC UNA Strassen: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$124 @ 63.0¢
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-13?Won
No$55 @ 76.4¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$1.7k @ 89.4¢
Singapore Open, Qualification: Aoi Ito vs Sofya LansereLost
Sofya Lansere$2.0k @ 33.7¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsLost
No$1.0k @ 43.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWon
Under$2.0k @ 63.0¢
Will Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra win the 2026 European Masters?Lost
Yes$39 @ 8.2¢
Will Manta FC win on 2026-08-01?Lost
Yes$273 @ 31.9¢
Korea Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sara SaitoWon
Sara Saito$900 @ 30.4¢
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Lost
No$376 @ 77.0¢
Will Learner Tien Win ATP MontrealLost
Yes$11 @ 13.0¢
Will Ghana reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?Won
Yes$304 @ 54.6¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Won
No$767 @ 89.0¢
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$83 @ 21.8¢
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-07-30?Won
Yes$34 @ 49.0¢
Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-01?Won
No$79 @ 76.0¢
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$1.1k @ 82.8¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Under$398 @ 42.3¢
Will Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?Won
Yes$261 @ 20.8¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$159 @ 48.0¢
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$36 @ 8.4¢
Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-07-29?Lost
Yes$389 @ 44.0¢
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville?Lost
No$25 @ 29.6¢
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville?Won
Yes$105 @ 52.4¢
Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina PapamichailLost
Despina Papamichail$2.0k @ 44.0¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$42 @ 52.0¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Won
Yes$193 @ 66.0¢
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWon
Under$1.7k @ 68.5¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?Lost
Yes$116 @ 18.0¢
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-08-13?Lost
Yes$11 @ 6.0¢
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsWon
No$1.3k @ 71.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$5.6k	94.2¢
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.8k	93.8¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	No	$1.2k	83.3¢
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?	Sports	Yes	$924	62.5¢
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$738	73.6¢
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-13?	Sports	Yes	$703	43.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$690	92.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Politics	No	$689	92.4¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	Tech	No	$485	96.5¢
Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$356	46.7¢
Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Sports	Julia Grabher	$324	56.0¢
Will the match end in a draw?	Sports	No	$215	97.9¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	Tech	No	$192	87.6¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Sports	Yes	$171	2.0¢
Will the match end in a draw?	Sports	No	$125	96.9¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	Tech	No	$98	91.1¢
Will the match end in a draw?	Sports	No	$66	95.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$36	4.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$35	84.3¢
Titans vs. Giants	Sports	Titans	$33	37.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$25	2.8¢
BC Dubai vs. Real Madrid	Sports	Real Madrid	$15	50.6¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.1¢

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$5.6k @ 94.2¢
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$1.8k @ 93.8¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
No$1.2k @ 83.3¢
Will CF América win on 2026-09-05?Sports
Yes$924 @ 62.5¢
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$738 @ 73.6¢
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-09-13?Sports
Yes$703 @ 43.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$690 @ 92.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
No$689 @ 92.4¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?Tech
No$485 @ 96.5¢
Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$356 @ 46.7¢
Tolentino: Alice Tubello vs Julia GrabherSports
Julia Grabher$324 @ 56.0¢
Will the match end in a draw?Sports
No$215 @ 97.9¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?Tech
No$192 @ 87.6¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Sports
Yes$171 @ 2.0¢
Will the match end in a draw?Sports
No$125 @ 96.9¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Tech
No$98 @ 91.1¢
Will the match end in a draw?Sports
No$66 @ 95.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$36 @ 4.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$35 @ 84.3¢
Titans vs. GiantsSports
Titans$33 @ 37.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$25 @ 2.8¢
BC Dubai vs. Real MadridSports
Real Madrid$15 @ 50.6¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢