← Smart money
0xde8f…8fd8
SharpEdge
+8.4pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
68% @ 59.3¢
Brier
0.134
Resolved
536
Avg size
$320
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (28/51) | +19% | 51 |
| Politics | 63% (19/30) | +16% | 30 |
| Geopolitics | 20% (1/5) | -92% | 5 |
| Sports | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +42% | 3 |
- Other51 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (28/51)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics30 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (19/30)
- ROI
- +16%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -92%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +42%
Track record
55% hit · 51/92- Yes$47 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$142 @ 11.9¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 40.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 84.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 38.1¢
- No$4.4k @ 81.8¢
- No$39 @ 45.9¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 84.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 57.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 30.5¢
- No$2.8k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 60.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 57.5¢
- No$14.2k @ 77.5¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 31.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 87.4¢
- No$951 @ 78.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 34.0¢
- No$6.0k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 79.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$900 @ 22.5¢
- No$396 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 82.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 60.0¢
- No$286 @ 30.0¢
- No$140 @ 56.0¢
- No$335 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$14.9k @ 80.6¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 66.2¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 70.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 78.0¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 70.5¢
- Yes$108 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$7.0k @ 75.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$283 @ 22.0¢
- No$55 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$105 @ 5.9¢
- No$48 @ 32.0¢
- No$169 @ 33.8¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 40.6¢
- Yes$151 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 80.1¢
- No$6.4k @ 74.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $10.2k | 84.0¢ |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $1.5k | 73.0¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | No | $1.3k | 67.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $945 | 63.0¢ |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $370 | 74.1¢ |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $142 | 11.9¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $79 | 36.0¢ |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Sports | Yes | $47 | 9.5¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $14 | 6.9¢ |
- No$10.2k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 73.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
- Yes$945 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$142 @ 11.9¢
- No$79 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 9.5¢
- No$14 @ 6.9¢