← Smart money
0xde45…c2c0
SharpEdge
+18.1pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
53% @ 34.4¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
40
Avg size
$9
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (3/10) | +22% | 10 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +64% | 1 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +27% | 1 |
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (3/10)
- ROI
- +22%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +64%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +27%
Track record
42% hit · 5/12- No$8 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$76 @ 70.7¢
- Yes$22 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 16.8¢
- No$22 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 38.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 49.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $99 | 36.9¢ |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $42 | 41.7¢ |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $30 | 87.0¢ |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $30 | 21.6¢ |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $28 | 14.5¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $22 | 57.9¢ |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $19 | 7.1¢ |
| Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $5 | 23.0¢ |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 12.5¢ |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 39.0¢ |
- Yes$99 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$42 @ 41.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 21.6¢
- Yes$28 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 57.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 39.0¢