← Smart money
0xde2f…c805
SharpEdge
+37.8pp
ROI
+50%
Win rate
96% @ 58.3¢
Brier
0.208
Resolved
52
Avg size
$130
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 75% (6/8) | +14% | 8 |
| Politics | 100% (3/3) | +65% | 3 |
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +65%
Track record
82% hit · 9/11| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup trophy on the pitch at Messi's farewell? | No | $10 | 50.0¢ | Won |
| Samsun: Fiona Crawley vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | Fiona Crawley | $331 | 50.3¢ | Won |
| Spain snap election called by November 30? | Yes | $283 | 82.0¢ | Won |
| China Open: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertens | Elise Mertens | $86 | 40.6¢ | Won |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $450 | 44.3¢ | Lost |
| Spain snap election called by October 31? | Yes | $3.3k | 61.0¢ | Won |
| Palermo: Jay Clarke vs Gabriele Piraino | Gabriele Piraino | $410 | 41.0¢ | Won |
| Rain during the Singapore Grand Prix? | No | $3 | 14.0¢ | Won |
| Antofagasta: Gustavo Heide vs Maximo Zeitune | Gustavo Heide | $249 | 61.0¢ | Won |
| Paris Basketball vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | Paris Basketball | $490 | 67.0¢ | Lost |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? | Yes | $1.2k | 55.5¢ | Won |
- No$10 @ 50.0¢
- Fiona Crawley$331 @ 50.3¢
- Yes$283 @ 82.0¢
- Elise Mertens$86 @ 40.6¢
- Yes$450 @ 44.3¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 61.0¢
- Gabriele Piraino$410 @ 41.0¢
- No$3 @ 14.0¢
- Gustavo Heide$249 @ 61.0¢
- Paris Basketball$490 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 55.5¢
Recent trades
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