0xde17…17c1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xde175b83a9faacd85ac3504616a690a9548e17c1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.1pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

13% @ 18.1¢

Brier

0.034

Resolved

361

Avg size

$42

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (16/39)	+36%	39
Sports	17% (1/6)	-67%	6
Politics	33% (1/3)	+7%	3
Tech	100% (2/2)	+13%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other39 bets
Hit rate
41% (16/39)
ROI
+36%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-67%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+7%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+13%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 20/51

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$21	0.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$40	77.0¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.1¢	Lost
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	$33	0.5¢	Lost
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	No	$719	89.9¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$177	10.1¢	Lost
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$44	0.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?	No	$1.1k	4.4¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$281	89.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	$393	78.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$15	0.4¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$84	83.0¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	$468	34.2¢	Lost
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$20	0.3¢	Lost
Will Google dip to $270 in February?	No	$14	87.7¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	No	$1.0k	47.8¢	Lost
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	$273	5.5¢	Lost
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	$88	43.5¢	Won
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	$440	88.0¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?	Yes	$596	3.1¢	Lost
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$118	5.3¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$66	6.1¢	Lost
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$835	83.2¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	$267	89.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	$160	80.0¢	Won
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	No	$240	13.3¢	Lost
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?	No	$57	87.0¢	Won
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$84	2.6¢	Lost
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	Yes	$250	83.0¢	Won
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?	Yes	$58	1.6¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	$145	71.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	$470	87.3¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	Yes	$173	6.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	$12	2.8¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$2.9k	78.9¢	Won
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	No	$138	69.0¢	Lost
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$156	32.2¢	Won
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	$36	0.5¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2.7k	67.8¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	$1	5.1¢	Lost
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$13	0.4¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	No	$326	64.0¢	Lost
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?	No	$20	4.1¢	Lost

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$21 @ 0.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$40 @ 77.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?Lost
Yes$33 @ 0.5¢
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Won
No$719 @ 89.9¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$177 @ 10.1¢
Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$44 @ 0.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?Lost
No$1.1k @ 4.4¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$281 @ 89.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$393 @ 78.0¢
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Lost
Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$84 @ 83.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Lost
No$468 @ 34.2¢
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.3¢
Will Google dip to $270 in February?Won
No$14 @ 87.7¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Lost
No$1.0k @ 47.8¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Lost
No$273 @ 5.5¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Won
No$88 @ 43.5¢
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Won
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?Lost
Yes$596 @ 3.1¢
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$118 @ 5.3¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$66 @ 6.1¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Won
Yes$835 @ 83.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?Won
No$267 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Won
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Lost
No$240 @ 13.3¢
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Won
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
No$57 @ 87.0¢
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$84 @ 2.6¢
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? Won
Yes$250 @ 83.0¢
Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?Lost
Yes$58 @ 1.6¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Won
No$145 @ 71.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?Won
No$470 @ 87.3¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?Lost
Yes$173 @ 6.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$2.9k @ 78.9¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Lost
No$138 @ 69.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Won
Yes$156 @ 32.2¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?Lost
Yes$36 @ 0.5¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$2.7k @ 67.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 5.1¢
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Lost
No$326 @ 64.0¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Lost
No$20 @ 4.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$500	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$279	93.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$260	52.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$241	40.8¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$217	79.4¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Crypto	No	$150	75.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$110	71.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$57	20.7¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$500 @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$279 @ 93.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$260 @ 52.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$241 @ 40.8¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$217 @ 79.4¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
No$150 @ 75.9¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$110 @ 71.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$57 @ 20.7¢