← Smart money
0xddb1…ea72
ProfitableEdge
+4.3pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
62% @ 57.6¢
Brier
0.234
Resolved
1768
Avg size
$73
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (17/32) | +4% | 32 |
| Sports | 41% (7/17) | -29% | 17 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | +20% | 6 |
| Tech | 25% (1/4) | -99% | 4 |
- Other32 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (17/32)
- ROI
- +4%
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (7/17)
- ROI
- -29%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +20%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -99%
Track record
47% hit · 28/59- Yes$1 @ 3.9¢
- Weibo Gaming$14 @ 70.0¢
- No$6 @ 5.3¢
- Top Esports$5 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
- No$10 @ 16.0¢
- Team WE$8 @ 7.0¢
- Knicks vs. SpursLostSpurs$15 @ 43.5¢
- Yes$17.8k @ 78.9¢
- Bilibili Gaming$20 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- Over$11 @ 7.7¢
- No$20 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 69.6¢
- No$101 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$259 @ 15.9¢
- Bilibili Gaming$10 @ 39.0¢
- Hanwha Life Esports$10 @ 15.0¢
- No$5.1k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$10.7k @ 85.0¢
- No$36 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$205 @ 64.1¢
- Yes$7.3k @ 37.2¢
- Yes$51 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$524 @ 74.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 70.8¢
- Team WE$15 @ 6.9¢
- JD Gaming$16 @ 60.0¢
- No$51 @ 62.0¢
- Top Esports$5 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$130 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$20.9k @ 60.6¢
- No$4.4k @ 50.6¢
- Yes$332 @ 3.2¢
- Bilibili Gaming$20 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 80.5¢
- No$103 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 66.8¢
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?LostYes$42 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$10.6k @ 65.4¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 84.0¢
- No$200 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
- No$101 @ 61.2¢
- No$92 @ 32.6¢
- JD Gaming$11 @ 35.0¢
- No$10 @ 10.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Politics | Yes | $328 | 66.7¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $299 | 19.8¢ |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Politics | Yes | $44 | 49.1¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $41 | 41.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $34 | 67.0¢ |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 67.0¢ |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? | Tech | Yes | $2 | 17.0¢ |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Politics | No | $1 | 44.0¢ |
- Yes$328 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$299 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 49.1¢
- Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
- No$1 @ 44.0¢