0xdd9b…705e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdd9b0c81640aed52130d2e4e1cfa0dab5832705e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

18% @ 9.6¢

Brier

0.150

Resolved

269

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (10/44)	+110%	44
Sports	11% (2/18)	+49%	18
Politics	0% (0/12)	-100%	12
Geopolitics	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other44 bets
Hit rate
23% (10/44)
ROI
+110%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
11% (2/18)
ROI
+49%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/12)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

15% hit · 12/82

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$10	7.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$14	11.3¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	0.9¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1	12.2¢	Lost
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8	0.3¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$1	5.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$2	12.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2	13.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$23	11.2¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	$1	10.6¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	Yes	$2	15.5¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$2	6.1¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	13.7¢	Lost
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$2	10.9¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$7	12.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2	8.9¢	Won
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$2	7.4¢	Lost
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$16	8.6¢	Lost
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$6	7.4¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	$21	2.2¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$2	13.3¢	Lost
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$13	12.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	5.6¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	13.4¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$2	3.3¢	Lost
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	3.1¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$8	1.8¢	Lost
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$4	10.1¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$1	14.7¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	Yes	$2	6.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$2	10.9¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$24	8.9¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Wizards	Wizards	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	$3	9.8¢	Lost

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 7.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$14 @ 11.3¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Lost
Rockets$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.2¢
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Lost
No$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
No$1 @ 5.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 12.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$23 @ 11.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.5¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.1¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.7¢
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$2 @ 8.9¢
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.4¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$16 @ 8.6¢
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.4¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Lost
No$21 @ 2.2¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.3¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$2 @ 0.2¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$13 @ 12.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.6¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$2 @ 13.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.8¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Won
Yes$4 @ 10.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$1 @ 14.7¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$24 @ 8.9¢
Pistons vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$1 @ 11.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$62	8.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$37	5.5¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$37	11.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$36	9.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$36	9.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$24	8.9¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$15	2.5¢
Trump out as President by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$15	8.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$13	3.9¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$12	1.8¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$12	1.6¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	1.2¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$9	2.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$9	1.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$7	8.5¢
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.1¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	0.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	9.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	10.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4	10.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$4	7.9¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	1.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	1.0¢
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$3	1.0¢
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	0.7¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$3	1.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Politics	Yes	$3	10.0¢
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$3	25.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$3	12.4¢

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$62 @ 8.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$37 @ 5.5¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$37 @ 11.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$36 @ 9.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$36 @ 9.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
Yes$24 @ 8.9¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$15 @ 2.5¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics
Yes$15 @ 8.4¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$13 @ 3.9¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$12 @ 1.8¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$12 @ 1.6¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 1.2¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$9 @ 2.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$9 @ 1.6¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$7 @ 8.5¢
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.1¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 0.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 9.3¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 10.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
Yes$4 @ 10.3¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$4 @ 7.9¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 0.7¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Will BP be acquired before 2027?Tech
Yes$3 @ 25.9¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$3 @ 12.4¢