0xdd1b…ff31

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdd1b8cadae45b05d8f7c02acb1966b4b2ca2ff31
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.4pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

22% @ 16.2¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

1090

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	29% (40/137)	+35%	137
Science	14% (1/7)	+29%	7
Politics	100% (3/3)	+37%	3

Other137 bets
Hit rate
29% (40/137)
ROI
+35%
Science7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
+29%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+37%

Track record

30% hit · 44/147

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?	Yes	$247	28.7¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	Yes	$201	32.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	$187	32.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?	No	$7	56.6¢	Won
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	$114	80.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?	Yes	$5	19.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	No	$318	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$16	79.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	$36	8.8¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	Yes	$415	42.8¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026?	No	$294	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$37	13.5¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 8, 2026?	Yes	$127	10.0¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	$18	2.4¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?	Yes	$43	11.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	$23	49.9¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?	No	$113	87.5¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$29	10.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	$9	22.5¢	Won
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	$90	30.3¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?	Yes	$5	5.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	$3	45.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 17, 2026?	Yes	$19	3.8¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$51	47.2¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 29, 2026?	Yes	$11	15.6¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on May 1, 2026?	Yes	$36	5.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	$17	50.8¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$238	18.4¢	Lost
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	No	$103	75.3¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?	Yes	$98	21.6¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	$225	18.6¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 27, 2026?	Yes	$51	17.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	$7	10.3¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026?	Yes	$144	32.8¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?	No	$75	42.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$520	16.8¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on April 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 21?	Yes	$12	19.5¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 17, 2026?	Yes	$206	23.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	$28	11.7¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	Yes	$25	29.9¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$90	11.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29?	Yes	$15	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?	Yes	$9	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$266	41.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?	Yes	$5	76.5¢	Lost
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?Won
Yes$247 @ 28.7¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$201 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$187 @ 32.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?Lost
Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?Won
No$7 @ 56.6¢
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?Won
No$114 @ 80.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 22?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?Won
No$318 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$16 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 8.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?Won
Yes$415 @ 42.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026?Won
No$294 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 13.5¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$127 @ 10.0¢
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Lost
Yes$18 @ 2.4¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$43 @ 11.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?Won
Yes$23 @ 49.9¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?Won
No$113 @ 87.5¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$29 @ 10.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?Won
Yes$9 @ 22.5¢
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Lost
Yes$90 @ 30.3¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on February 27, 2026?Won
Yes$51 @ 47.2¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 29, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 15.6¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on May 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$36 @ 5.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?Won
Yes$17 @ 50.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$238 @ 18.4¢
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Won
No$103 @ 75.3¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?Lost
Yes$98 @ 21.6¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Won
Yes$225 @ 18.6¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$51 @ 17.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 10.3¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$144 @ 32.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$520 @ 16.8¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 21?Lost
Yes$12 @ 19.5¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$206 @ 23.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$28 @ 11.7¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?Won
Yes$25 @ 29.9¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$90 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29?Lost
Yes$15 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 14?Lost
Yes$9 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$266 @ 41.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?Lost
Yes$5 @ 76.5¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$402	86.8¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$54	34.6¢
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$43	9.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$42	42.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$31	31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$31	61.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$29	58.0¢
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Politics	Down	$3	50.0¢

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$402 @ 86.8¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026?Politics
Yes$54 @ 34.6¢
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics
Yes$43 @ 9.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$29 @ 58.0¢
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics
Down$3 @ 50.0¢