← Smart money
0xdce0…2daf
SharpEdge
+2.0pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
17% @ 14.6¢
Brier
0.120
Resolved
3751
Avg size
$7
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 22% (112/519) | +27% | 519 |
| Sports | 21% (54/260) | -24% | 260 |
| Politics | 16% (16/103) | +9% | 103 |
| Crypto | 30% (6/20) | +5% | 20 |
| Culture | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
- Other519 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (112/519)
- ROI
- +27%
- Sports260 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (54/260)
- ROI
- -24%
- Politics103 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (16/103)
- ROI
- +9%
- Crypto20 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (6/20)
- ROI
- +5%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
Track record
21% hit · 189/905- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$60 @ 9.8¢
- Under$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 3.9¢
- Under$56 @ 43.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 16.8¢
- Under$10 @ 5.0¢
- Under$12 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 33.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$57 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
- Under$3 @ 13.0¢
- No$86 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$255 @ 84.8¢
- Yes$34 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 9.0¢
- Spurs$12 @ 47.0¢
- Under$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 28.3¢
- Under$5 @ 15.0¢
- Under$80 @ 40.0¢
- Under$20 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
- Servette FC Chênois Féminin$2 @ 49.5¢
- Under$8 @ 17.0¢
- Under$5 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Coventry City FC$2 @ 6.0¢
- Under$11 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
- No$68 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$42 @ 6.3¢
- Under$10 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 11.0¢
- Under$14 @ 13.0¢
- Under$3 @ 30.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $132 | 4.3¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $94 | 10.5¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $44 | 12.5¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Business | No | $28 | 18.7¢ |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Tech | Yes | $16 | 31.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | Business | No | $5 | 27.0¢ |
| Will Sunderland finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ |
| Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-11-01? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 15.0¢ |
- Yes$132 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$94 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$44 @ 12.5¢
- No$28 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 31.0¢
- No$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢